A critical skill of an Emergency Manager is the ability to evaluate material associated with the Emergency Management Cycle and provide feedback to those that are part of your community or organization so that everything is done to mitigate and prepare for any emergency or disaster that may impact you.

This week I want you to choose one of your classmate’s documents; HVA Hazard Risk Index and Hazard Profile Worksheet, evaluate each and provide feedback to him/her. Even though we all used the same fictitious city, each may have viewed the hazards, priorities, and risks differently. Please provide constructive feedback; feedback that will assist them in making their documents better. 

See attached documents

250-300 words each and no reference needed 

2

>Cover

Vulnerability Assessment

9, 2020

59 Toolkit

Hazard

Location:

Date Updated:

Thursday, March

1

Completed by:

Nancy McLin

Adapted from FEMA IS-

5

Matrix-Nat

Location:

Completed by: Nancy McLin

Hazard

None

yrs

Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Regional

Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized

Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized

Low Minor 2-3 yrs Localized

Low Minor every year Localized

Moderate Major every year Localized

0 degrees F
Summers = 85 degrees F
Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F

Low None every year Regional

Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Natural

Bobsville, OK

Date Completed:

Thursday, March 19, 2020

Probability

Impact

Frequency

Distribution

List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only natural hazards.

High

Major

50 yrs

Regional

Moderate

Minor

10 yrs

County-wide

Low

None

5-10 yrs

Localized

2-

3

N/A

every year

several times per year

Tornados Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most.

Blizzards

Snowfall

Drought

Earthquakes

Flooding Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – melting snow from 25 inches of snowfall could potentially cause flooding.

Temperatures Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Winters =

4

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most.

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Matrix-Tech

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Probability Impact Frequency Distribution

High Major 50 yrs Regional

Moderate Minor 10 yrs County-wide
Low None 5-10 yrs Localized
None 2-3 yrs N/A
every year
several times per year

Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized

Moderate Major 10 yrs Localized

Moderate Major every year Localized

Low Minor 10 yrs Localized

Moderate Major 2-3 yrs County-wide

Low Minor 10 yrs Localized

Low Major 10 yrs County-wide

Low Minor 10 yrs County-wide

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Technological
List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only technology-caused hazards.
	Communications Failure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters.
	Plane/Auto Crash Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center. – Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies. – Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue. – one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles. – helicopter training base near town. – regional airport is next to the helicopter base – commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
	Transportation Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.
	Infrastructure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities”
	Electrical Failure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
		Fuel Shortage Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: There are only 2 gas stations.	Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters.	Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center. – Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies. – Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue. – one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles. – helicopter training base near town. – regional airport is next to the helicopter base – commercial flights take off 3 times a day.	Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.	Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities”	Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
		Nuclear Power Plant
		Water Treatment Plant

Matrix-Man

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Probability Impact Frequency Distribution

High Major 50 yrs Regional

Moderate Minor 10 yrs County-wide
Low None 5-10 yrs Localized
None 2-3 yrs N/A
every year
several times per year

Low None 5-10 yrs Localized

Low None every year Localized

Moderate Major several times per year Localized

Moderate Major 2-3 yrs Localized

High Major every year Localized

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Human
List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only adversarial or human-caused hazards on this tab.
	Civil Distubrances Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: has been at least 5 yrs since anyone was escorted from the meetings by the Sheriff.
	Crime Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Crime is “virtually non-existent” – in the past yr, 3 arrests (2 for public intoxication, 1 for egging Sheriff’s car.) – Building that was meant for potential mall is out of shape due to neglect because of funding; sometimes gets used for “ilicit activities” usually on weekends after HS football games. – Crime could increase during events (festivals, football games, etc) and when Univerisity is in session due to population increase.
	Work Stoppage Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – there are mulitple important officials wearing multiple hats.
Structural Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 1 road leading in & out of the golf course where EM couduct full scale exercises.
	Negligence Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – It’s implied that since there is no full time EMS staff for the one ambulance, Jack (car dealership owner and once an up & coming dirt track racer) would be the driver.

Vuln-Nat

Location: Bobsville, OK

Date Completed:

Completed by:

Risk

Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1

Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2

Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3

High – 4 High – 4 High – 4 High – 4 High – 4

High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5

4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2

4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875

4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875

5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1

5 4 2 2 3 2 1 1

5 3 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875

1 2 3 1 2 3 1 1

2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Natural

Friday, March 20, 2020

Nancy O. McLin

Type of Hazard

Historical Occurrence

Probability of Occurence

Human Impact

Property Impact

Business Impact

Mitigation Activities

Internal Resources

External Resources

Total

Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix

Has not occurred – 1

< 5% - 1

Low – 1

Low: < 2.0

Every 51-100 yrs – 2

5-10% – 2

Low – 2

Every 11-50 yrs – 3

10-20% – 3

Med – 3

Med: 2.1-3.5

Every 5-10 yrs – 4

20-40% – 4

High – 4

High: > 3.5

Every 1-4 yrs – 5

> 40% – 5

High – 5

Tornado Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Last 10 years (3 EF2 tornadoes, 1 EF4 tornado & 1 EF5)

3.875

Blizzards Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Last 10 years, 6 crippling blizzards. – Snowfall in excess of 24 inches

Snowfall Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 6 crippling blizzards w/ snowfall in excess of 24 inches.

Drought Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Serious drought that lasted 3 years, 9 years ago.

3.25

Earthquakes Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 25 earthquakes (3.0 & up) since the town’s founding in 2000

3.75

Flooding Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Could potentially be flooding from 25 inches of melted snow. – Lakes could rise.

Temperatures Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Winters = 40 degrees F Summers = 85 degrees F Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Last 10 years (3 EF2 tornadoes, 1 EF4 tornado & 1 EF5)

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Last 10 years, 6 crippling blizzards. – Snowfall in excess of 24 inches

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 6 crippling blizzards w/ snowfall in excess of 24 inches.

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Serious drought that lasted 3 years, 9 years ago.

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 25 earthquakes (3.0 & up) since the town’s founding in 2000

Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Could potentially be flooding from 25 inches of melted snow. – Lakes could rise.

2.75

2.25

Vuln-Tech

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Friday, March 20, 2020
Completed by: Nancy O. McLin

Type of Hazard Historical Occurrence Probability of Occurence Human Impact Property Impact Business Impact Mitigation Activities Internal Resources External Resources Total

Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Has not occurred – 1 < 5% - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low: < 2.0 Every 51-100 yrs - 2 5-10% - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Every 11-50 yrs - 3 10-20% - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med: 2.1-3.5 Every 5-10 yrs - 4 20-40% - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High: > 3.5
Every 1-4 yrs – 5 > 40% – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 4 4 3 3 3 3 2.75

1 1 4 4 5 3 3 3 3

1 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 3.25

1 2 3 2 5 3 3 3 2.75

Fuel Shortage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
There are only 2 gas stations. 1 1 3 1 3 2 2 2

Nuclear Power Plant 1 1 5 3 5 4 3 3

Water Treatment Plant 1 1 4 3 3 3 2 1 3

2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Technological
Communications Failure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 1 radio station (AM/FM) -1 local affiliate station -1 local internet provider (underground cable broadband service) -2 cell phone transmitters -high tension power lines leading from Diasaster County Nuclear Power Plant		2.5
Plane/Auto Crash Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: -There are no stoplights in Bobsville. There are 4-way stop signs at all intersections. – Nothing states it has happened before. – There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center. – Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies. – Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue. – one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles. – helicopter training base near town. – regional airport is next to the helicopter base – commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Transportation Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Only 1 ambulance for medical transport
Infrastructure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Unfinished mall used for illicit activites
Electrical Failure Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
2.625
2.875

Vuln-Man

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy O. McLin
Type of Hazard Historical Occurrence Probability of Occurence Human Impact Property Impact Business Impact Mitigation Activities Internal Resources External Resources Total
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Has not occurred – 1 < 5% - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low: < 2.0 Every 51-100 yrs - 2 5-10% - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Every 11-50 yrs - 3 10-20% - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med: 2.1-3.5 Every 5-10 yrs - 4 20-40% - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High: > 3.5
Every 1-4 yrs – 5 > 40% – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5

5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

4 2 3 1 2 1 1 2 3.25

5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2.5

2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Human

Civil Disturbances Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Has been 5 years since anyone has been escorted from town council meetings.

Crime Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: -3 people arrested in the past year (1 for egging the Sheriff’s car & 2 public intoxication) – illicit activities increase during high school football season.

Work Stoppage Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – Multiple people filling double rolls within the community.

Structural Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – A failed attempt at a mall is left in bad shape due to funding and has been a place for illicit activities

Ngeligence Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Utilizing Jack (prior up & coming dirt track racer) to drive the ambulance – unqualified

RiskIdx-Nat

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin

Hazard Frequency

Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix

Negligible Low

Limited

Critical High

Catastrophic

Likely Critical Minimal Critical

High

Blizzards Likely Critical 24+ hours Critical

High

Snowfall Likely Critical 24+ hours Limited County assistance may be required for salting and clearing roads. High
Drought Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Medium

Earthquakes Highly Likely Negligible Minimal Limited

High

Flooding
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– melting snow from 25 inches of snowfall could potentially cause flooding.
Highly Likely Limited 6-12 hours Limited

High

Temperatures
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Winters = 40 degrees F
Summers = 85 degrees F
Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F Highly Likely Negligible 12-24 hours Negligible

Medium

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Risk Index – Natural

Magnitude

Warning Time

Severity

Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations

Risk Priority

Unlikely

Negligible

24+ hours

Possible

Limited

12-24 hours

Medium

Likely

Critical

6-12 hours

Highly Likely

Catastrophic

Minimal

Tornados Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most. In the past 10 years: 3 EF2, 1 EF4, 1 EF5

May require county assistance for medical care for any casualties.

County assistance may be required for salting and clearing roads.

Water rationing may be required; usage amounts per households will vary.

3.0 magnitude earthquakes could potentially cause some damage to weaken infrastructure and communications transmitters and towers.

Town topography is flat. Lake is larger than the city and is the town’s only reservoir. Consider use of sand bags for certain areas via hazard mapping.

Implement heat stress & cold weather monitoring.

RiskIdx-Tech

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Frequency Magnitude Warning Time Severity Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations Risk Priority
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Unlikely Negligible 24+ hours Negligible Low
Possible Limited 12-24 hours Limited Medium
Likely Critical 6-12 hours Critical High
Highly Likely Catastrophic Minimal Catastrophic

Communications Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters. Likely Critical Minimal Limited

Medium

Plane/Auto Crash
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center.
– Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies.
– Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue.
– one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles.
– helicopter training base near town.
– regional airport is next to the helicopter base
– commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Likely Critical Minimal Critical

Medium

Transportation
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.
Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited May require county assistance for medical care for casualties. Medium
Infrastructure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities” Likely Negligible Minimal Critical

Medium

Electrical Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area. Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Medium

Fuel Shortage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
There are only 2 gas stations. Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Medium

Nuclear Power Plant Likely Critical Minimal Critical

Medium

Water Treatment Plant Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Medium

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Risk Index – Technological
There are only two cell phone transmitters. Consider two-way radios on standby for emergencies.
	May require county assistance for medical care for casualties.
Block off abandoned buidling. Increase security patrols for safety measures.
Consider generators for major generatiors and quarterly tests and maintenance.
There are only two gas stations. Consider state assistance for potential shortages.
Standardize safe evacuation routes for citizens.
Potential for flooding. Elevate structures.

RiskIdx-Man

Location: Bobsville, OK
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020

Completed by:

Hazard Frequency Magnitude Warning Time Severity Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations Risk Priority
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Unlikely Negligible 24+ hours Negligible Low
Possible Limited 12-24 hours Limited Medium
Likely Critical 6-12 hours Critical High
Highly Likely Catastrophic Minimal Catastrophic

Civil Distubrances
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
has been at least 5 yrs since anyone was escorted from the meetings by the Sheriff. Likely Negligible Minimal Limited

Low

Crime
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Crime is “virtually non-existent” – in the past yr, 3 arrests (2 for public intoxication, 1 for egging Sheriff’s car.)
– Building that was meant for potential mall is out of shape due to neglect because of funding; sometimes gets used for “ilicit activities” usually on weekends after HS football games.
– Crime could increase during events (festivals, football games, etc) and when Univerisity is in session due to population increase. Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Low

Work Stoppage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– there are mulitple important officials wearing multiple hats. Possible Limited Minimal Limited

Low

Likely Limited Minimal Critical

Medium

Negligence
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– It’s implied that since there is no full time EMS staff for the one ambulance, Jack (car dealership owner and once an up & coming dirt track racer) would be the driver. Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited

Medium

Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit

Hazard Risk Index – Human
Although rare, continue to provide security for town council meetings.
Although low crime rate, continue to provide security and high vigilence for potential crime.
Multiple potential single point of failures with dual-hatted officials.
Structural Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User: – 1 road leading in & out of the golf course where EM conduct full scale exercises.	Consider multiple routes for emergency vehicles during FSE and Real World events.
Jack needs official training and licensing to drive the ambulance.

Toolkit

IS-559 / G-556

Toolkit
IS-559 / G-556

Student Name: M N

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Tornado

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%

☒ Critical: 25 to 50%

☐ Limited:

1

0 to 25%

☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year

☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years

☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years

☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Regional

Probable Duration: Less than 10 minutes.

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning

☐ 6 to 12 hours warning

☐ 12 to 24 hours warning

☐ More than 24 hours warning

Existing Warning Systems: None

Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes

☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Blizzards

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Winter months.

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Over 3 Hours

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☐ Minimal (or no) warning

☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning

☒ More than 24 hours warning

Existing Warning Systems: N/A

Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Snowfall

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Winter months.

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☐ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☒ More than 24 hours warning

Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Drought

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%

☐ Critical: 25 to 50%

☒ Limited: 10 to 25%

☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Summer months.

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Years

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning

Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Earthquake

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%

☒ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year

☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years

☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: 10-30 seconds

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None

Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Flooding

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Days to weeks.

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☐ Minimal (or no) warning

☒ 6 to 12 hours warning

☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: (Extreme) Temperatures

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Extreme hot temperatures are likely to happen during Summer months and extreme cold temperatures are likely to happen during Winter months.

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Regional

Probable Duration: Days-Months (dependent on weather)

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☐ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning

☒ 12 to 24 hours warning

☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Communications Failure

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Plane/Auto Crash

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Transportation

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Infrastructure

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Electrical Failure

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Fuel Shortage

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Nuclear Power Plant

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Water Treatment Plant

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Civil Disturbances

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Crime

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Work Stoppage

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years

☒ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years

☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Structural

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

Hazard Profile Worksheet

HAZARD: Negligence

Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):

☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%

Frequency of Occurrence:

☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years

Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A

Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized

Probable Duration: Unknown

Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):

☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:

☒ Yes
☐ No

Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position

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