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 6 pg. without References 

Abstract 

– Introduction.

– Research Objectives.

– Literature Review.3 pg. 

– Methodology.

– Expected Outcomes.

– Outcome Utilization.

– References.

Economic impact COVID-19

Research Topic: How companies in Saudi Arabia develop a health culture in their business to achieve reputation and competitive advantage

Culture of Health (Definition): A culture which encourages everyone, including businesses, to maximize good health and well-being for themselves, for others with whom they live and work, for their communities, and for the environment

Research should be based on an analysis of gaps in current knowledge of epidemiology

Proposal should fulfil the following: 6 pg. without References. Single phase

– Abstract

– Introduction.

– Research Objectives.

– Literature Review.3 pg.

– Methodology.

– Expected Outcomes.

– Outcome Utilization.

– References.

The Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia (MOH) is working to establish healthcare research strategy

aims to ensure an innovative research environment where evidence informs policy

development and decision making by supporting and sustaining local research

capacity. The strategy has three components:

• Increase research productivity and strategic value by aligning research funding

with health system strategic priorities to optimize impact and return on

investment.

• Foster knowledge translation and exchange by facilitating linkages between

researchers and decision-makers for the uptake and use of evidence.

• Build capacity by attracting, developing and retaining world-class health research

professionals.

Economic impact

COVID

19

Research
Topic:

How

compan
ies

in
Saudi

Arabia

develop a health
culture in
their
business to achieve reputation and competitive
advantage

Cultur
e of Health

(Definition
)
:

A culture which encourages everyone, including businesses, to maximize
good health and well

being for themselves, for others with whom they live and work, for their
communities, and for the environment

Research should be based on an analysis of gaps in current knowledge of epidemiology

Proposal should fulfil the following:

6
pg.

without
References.

Single phase

Abstract

Introduction.

Research Objectives.

Literature Review.
3
pg.

Method
ology.

Expected Outcomes.

Outcome Utilization.

References.

The Ministry of Health
in
Saudi

Arabia

(MOH) is working to establish healthcare research strategy

aims to ensure an innovative research environment where evidence informs policy

development and decision making by supporting and sustaining local research

capacity. The strategy has three components:

• Increase research productivity and strategic value by aligning research funding

with health system strategic priorities to optimize i
mpact and return on

investment.

• Foster knowledge translation and exchange by facilitating linkages between

researchers and decision

makers for the uptake and use of evidence.

Economic impact COVID-19

Research Topic: How companies in Saudi Arabia develop a health
culture in their business to achieve reputation and competitive
advantage
Culture of Health (Definition): A culture which encourages everyone, including businesses, to maximize
good health and well-being for themselves, for others with whom they live and work, for their
communities, and for the environment

Research should be based on an analysis of gaps in current knowledge of epidemiology

Proposal should fulfil the following: 6 pg. without References. Single phase
– Abstract
– Introduction.
– Research Objectives.
– Literature Review.3 pg.
– Methodology.
– Expected Outcomes.
– Outcome Utilization.
– References.

The Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia (MOH) is working to establish healthcare research strategy
aims to ensure an innovative research environment where evidence informs policy
development and decision making by supporting and sustaining local research
capacity. The strategy has three components:
• Increase research productivity and strategic value by aligning research funding
with health system strategic priorities to optimize impact and return on
investment.
• Foster knowledge translation and exchange by facilitating linkages between
researchers and decision-makers for the uptake and use of evidence.

N2-718-03

4

R E V :

J A N U A R Y 3 1 , 2 0 1 8

Professor Richard H.K. Vietor and Research Associate Haviland Sheldahl-Thomason prepared this case. Funding for the development of this case
was provided by Harvard Business School. HBS cases are developed solely as the basis for class discussion. Cases are not intended to serve as
endorsements, sources of primary data, or illustrations of effective or ineffective management.

Copyright © 2018 President and Fellows of Harvard College. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, call 1-800-545-7685,
write Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston, MA 02163, or go to www.hbsp.harvard.edu. This publication may not be digitized, photocopied,
or otherwise reproduced, posted, or transmitted, without the permission of Harvard Business School.

R I C H A R D H . K . V I E T O R

H A V I L A N D S H E L D A H L – T H O M A S O N

Saudi Arabia:

Vision 20

30

In terms of embracing Vision 2030, there’s no turning back.1

— Mohammed K.A. Al-Faisal (MBA ’96

)

At an investor summit in late October 2017, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pledged to
“moderate” Saudi Arabia. “We will not spend the next 30 years of our lives dealing with extremis

t

ideologies. We will destroy them today, and immediately,” said the Prince. “Saudi was not like this
before 1979. Saudi Arabia and the entire region went through a revival after 1979…All we are doing
is going back to what we were: a moderate Islam that is open to all religions and to the world and to
all traditions and people.”

2

The summit was celebrating more than a year’s progress of Vision 2030 – the development strategy
that the young Prince had introduced in June of 2016. In an environment of sharply declining oil prices,
the 32-year-old Prince – not yet designated Crown Prince – had introduced a plan to move Saudi Arabi

a

away from its long-dependence on oil exports, to become an investment powerhouse, to develop the
non-oil economy and, in the process, create six million jobs for Saudi’s.3

Then, in November of 2017, Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) had more than 300 business executives,
including 11 princes, detained at the Ritz Carlton in Riyadh on charges of corruption. Clearly, MBS
wanted to emphasize his seriousness about the Vision 2030 changes, and perhaps garner more public
support. These leaders were to be held until they settled payments to the government – some in the
billions of dollars – to recover their corrupt gains and help fund ambitious government programs. A
decision to allow women to drive again had preceded this audacious, yet popular move, and it was
shortly followed by other announcements to open movie theaters and to reduce subsidies on gasoline
and electricity in 2018. The new budget, released December 19th, modified the Nationa

l

Transformation Plan and reaffirmed, albeit delayed, return to a balanced budget.

The question on everyone’s mind – Saudis and foreign investors alike – was what Mohammed bin
Salman would do next – not just domestically, but also to stabilize and secure Saudi Arabia’s foreign
policy in the chaotic and dangerous Middle East.

718-034

  • Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030
  • 2

    Background

    Saudi Arabia was the largest country on the Arabian Peninsula, occupying 80% of the total area. It
    was bordered by Jordan, Iraq and Kuwait to the north, Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates to
    the east and Oman and Yemen to the south (see Exhibit 1). Saudi Arabia had an expansive coastline
    along the Red Sea to the West and the Persian Gulf to the East. Of the country’s 800,000 square-mile
    landmass, 95% was desert and only 1.6% of was arable.

    Saudi Arabia’s population exceeded 32 million in 2017, 7 million of whom lived in the capital city,
    Riyadh. Over 83% percent of the population was urbanized, including 12 million foreigners who
    worked or resided in the country.4 Remittances of nearly $46 billion were sent from the Kingdom to
    other countries in 2015 – one of the highest levels in the world.5 Because of its high fertility rate, 70%
    of the Saudi population was under the age of 30. The official language was Arabic, although English
    was spoken widely in business.

    History of Saudi Arabia

    Prior to the rise of Islam, the Arabian Peninsula was a strategic trade corridor, located between the
    Nile River Valley and Mesopotamia. However, the birth of the prophet Muhammad would transform
    the future Kingdom of Saudi Arabia into a religious epicenter.6 In 610, Muhammad was visited by the
    Angel Gabriel, who shared a message from God which Muhammad dictated in Arabic, eventually
    becoming the Qur’an.7 Muhammed began spreading the teachings of Islam in Mecca, and in 622 he
    moved to Medina, where he would live for the remainder of his life. By the time of his death, most
    Arabian communities had declared loyalty to Muhammad and to Islam. Mecca and Medina developed
    into the two holiest cities of Islam, which gave rise to the Kingdom’s description as the “Land of the
    Two Holy Mosques.”

    The Islamic Empire continued to spread after Muhammad’s death, and within 100 years it stretched
    from India and China to Spain. Yet the Arabian Peninsula was ruled by various empires, including the
    Byzantines, Sassanids and Ottomans. In the eighteenth century, the Islamic Empire fractured into
    smaller kingdoms as the Arabian Peninsula grew increasingly isolationist, populated by semi-feudal
    tribes. Then, in the early 1700s, Muhammed bin Abdul Wahhab, a Muslim scholar, and Muhammad
    bin Saud, a tribal leader from the village of Diriyah, established the first Saudi state, free from Ottoman
    rule.8 With the goal of restoring the pure teachings of Islam by promoting monotheism and a strict
    interpretation of the Qur’an, the two men started a revivalist movement, deemed Wahhabism. This
    movement formed the basis of the monarchy and the practice of Islam and shari’a law in contemporary
    Saudi Arabia.

    The first Saudi state gained control of Mecca and Medina and would cover almost all of the modern-
    day territory. However, in the early 1800s the Ottoman’s, displeased with the state’s increasing powers,
    besieged Diriyah and destroyed the new government. A tumultuous period followed, as the Al Saud
    dynasty regained control of parts of the area in 1824 and established the second Saudi state. This too
    would collapse before the end of the century, due to internal conflicts. The Al Saud family fled to
    Kuwait after the second state failed, but in 1902 Abdul-Aziz bin Saud returned to the area and seized
    Riyadh, the beginning of a series of conquests that would lead to the modern third Saudi state, the
    Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, in 1932. The Qur’an was declared the constitution.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordan

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bahrain

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Emirates

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oman

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemen

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ibn_Saud

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    3

    The Practice of Islam

    The Muslim faith established five obligations, which included: (1) reciting “There is no God but God
    and Muhammad is the Messenger of God,” (2) praying five times a day, (3) giving 2.5% of one’s total
    net worth to the poor (Zakat), (4) fasting during the month of Ramadan (the ninth month in the Muslim
    lunar calendar), and (5) taking a pilgrimage to Mecca during one’s lifetime (Hajj). Islam was the basis
    of the Kingdom’s laws, and was the only recognized religion in Saudi Arabia.

    The majority of Saudi’s were Sunni Muslims and followed the Hanbali School of Jurisprudence –
    one of the most conservative practices of Islam. There were a smaller number of Shia Muslims,
    approximately 10% of the population, though the Wahhabi ideology denounced their faith. The
    religion had been divided following Muhammad’s death, after which the majority of believers (which
    would become “Sunni”) supported Muhammad’s central advisor Abu Bakr as the successor. But a
    minority supported Muhammad’s son-in-law, Ali. The minority, or Shia, began to form following the
    murder of Ali after he was named the fourth caliph. Religious differences and intolerances developed,
    as the Sunni believed that divine revelation ended with Muhammad while the Shia believed that their
    leaders were divinely guided. Discrimination against Shia Muslims had been widely reported – the
    Human Rights Watch detailed unfair judicial and educational treatment against the Shias. For example,
    in Saudi Arabia, some Shias were not allowed to be judges and Shias were not allowed to teach their
    religion.9 Over a millennium, however, Shia came to dominate Iran, Iraq, Azerbaijan and Bahrain, with
    significant minorities in Yemen, Kuwait, Turkey, Pakistan and Afghanistan.

    Modern History

    The political centralization and unification that occurred after the creation of the modern Saudi state
    led to the power of a relative few. The royal family and the ministries of finance, the interior, and
    foreign affairs were the powers that initially ran the country. The economic development of the
    Kingdom, under the leadership of Abdul-Aziz bin Saud (known as Ibn Saud) was initially dependent
    on tourism revenues from Muslim pilgrimages, but it skyrocketed after the discovery of oil in 1938 by
    American geologists.10

    After establishing relations with the US in 1933, Ibn Saud had allowed US companies to engage in
    oil exploration and develop oil resources following the discovery of the second largest oil reserve in
    the world. The oil companies and the Saudi government set up a joint venture that would become the
    Arabian-American Oil Company (later renamed Saudi Arabian Oil Company, known as Aramco),
    today the largest energy company in the world.11 The discovery of oil marked the beginning of Saud

    i

    Arabia’s international integration, as the country began exporting oil in 1939. In 1945, the Kingdom
    and the US agreed to a “security-for-oil” deal, whereby the Kingdom would securely supply western
    markets with oil and the US in turn would provide military assistance and training.

    During the next decade, the success of the oil industry necessitated the creation of a new economic
    administration.12 The government created the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) to act as the
    central bank and manage oil revenues in 1952. The oil sector molded the Kingdom’s economy, as
    supporting enterprises were established to benefit the newfound resource wealth. Oil revenues
    allowed Ibn Saud to provide free healthcare for all Saudis and to invest heavily in education. The
    Kingdom had built 226 schools by 1951 and established its first university in 1957.13 Despite the
    growing wealth, the Kingdom was forced to seek financial assistance from the International Monetary
    Fund (IMF) in 1958, as the government’s spending had surpassed revenues. In 1960, Saudi Arabia,
    along with the oil-rich nations Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Venezuela, formed the Organization of the

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ibn_Saud

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030
    4

    Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which aimed to coordinate petroleum policies among the
    members to ensure stable prices.14 By 2017 ten other countries had joined OPEC.

    Ibn Saud died in 1953, and his son, the crown prince Saud bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, became the new
    King. However, following an increase in the nation’s debt and accusations of profligacy, fellow
    members of the royal family deposed Saud in 1964, claiming that the country needed a more capable
    leader to strengthen the Kingdom’s frail economy. Faisal bin Abdulaziz Al Saud became the new king,
    and was instrumental in the economic and cultural modernization of the country.

    The IMF had suggested that the Kingdom create a planning agency, and the 1960s therefore marked
    the beginning of economic planning in the Kingdom. King Faisal created the Central Planning
    Organization in 1965 to aid in diversifying the economy, although its influence was limited by financial
    constraints. The country released the first of several five-year development plans in 1970, which
    prioritized investment in infrastructure, education and defense.15 When the Arab-Israel War broke out
    in 1973, and the United States re-armed Israel, Saudi Arabia led other Arab states to impose an oil
    embargo on certain Western countries. Together with pressures already begun in Libya, the embargo
    shortly led to crude oil price increases, from $2.40 to $11.65 per barrel. Oil prices jumped again in 1978,
    during the Iranian Revolution – this time to $36 per barrel. Thus, through the 1970s and early 80s,
    Saudi Arabia experienced its highest ever levels of growth.

    Faisal outlawed slavery and oversaw some modernization of the Saudi culture. Female education
    was introduced in 1964, and women were allowed to travel freely if they had a letter of permission.
    The television was introduced in 1965, and the initial broadcast was a recitation of the Qur’an.
    However, Faisal allowed for extremist Muslims from Egypt and Syria to seek refuge in Saudi Arabia.16
    Faisal was assassinated by his nephew in 1975, and was succeeded by his half-brother Prince Khalid.
    Further unrest developed in 1979, when religious conservatives seized the Grand Mosque in Mecca to
    protest the recent liberalization measures, claiming that they were against the teachings of Islam. This
    prompted the rise of an ultraconservative periphery, and an increase in conservatism in Saudi society.
    To appease the conservatives, Khalid empowered the Committee for the Propagation of Virtue and the
    Prevention of Vice (CPVPV), which monitored behavior previously supervised by families. The
    CPVPV employed the religious police, the mutaween, who enforced dress codes, supported the
    segregation of unmarried men and women, forced the shutdown of stores during prayer time and
    prevented women from independent travel during the 1980s and 90s.

    Government

    Saudi Arabia was a hereditary monarchy, and Islam was the foundation of the country’s laws. The
    succession of the throne was determined by the king, who chose the crown prince with help from the
    Allegiance Council (see Exhibit 4). The 1992 Basic Law, passed under the rule of King Fahd, was
    indicative of a constitution, and mandated that the succession of the throne pass through direct male
    descendants of Ibn Saud. The Council of Ministers had been effective since 1953, and was composed
    of 22 ministries in areas such as education, defense, and the economy. The members were selected by
    royal decree and were tasked with advising the king and approving legislation. Fahd created the
    Consultative Council (also called the Shura Council) in 1992, which was based on the Islamic concept
    of a majilis, whereby educated citizens could personally approach their leader with concerns.17 The
    Council had 150 members, all appointed by the king, and were able to propose laws to the king. While
    initially all 150 members were male, in 2013 King Abdullah, Fahd’s successor, appointed 30 women to
    the Council.

    King Fahd also divided the nation into 13 provinces in 1992, each with their own governor, a deputy
    governor, and a provincial council. The provincial council was responsible for drafting a development

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    5

    budget and monitoring ongoing projects. Provincial elections were allowed for half of the seats in 2005,
    with men allowed to vote for male candidates, and expanded in 2015, when women were allowed to
    both run as candidates and vote. In the 2015 municipal elections, with 284 seats up for grabs, twenty
    women were elected. There had been 1,000 female candidates and 7,000 male candidates, and
    approximately 81% of the 130,000 female registered voters cast ballots.18

    Legal System

    Saudi Arabia’s judicial system was based on Shari’a law for both criminal and civil cases. Shari’a law
    was not codified, and judicial decisions were based on the Qur’an, the Sunnah (the practices and
    sayings of Muhammad), Ijma (the consensus of Muslim scholars on religious issues) and Qias (analogy
    based on written reports of Muhammad). The court system was dominated by Shari’a courts, which
    heard the majority of the cases and were divided into three categories – Courts of the First Instance,
    Courts of Cassation and the Supreme Judicial Council. The Board of Grievances handled cases
    pertaining to the government. In 2007, King Abdullah created a Supreme Court and specialized courts
    for commercial and labor issues. But the Kingdom and its legal system had been criticized for a variety
    of human rights infringements, including the lack of protection for religious freedom and for not
    always informing a suspect the crime of which they were accused.19

    Senior religious scholars formed the ulema, the country’s religious leadership. Saudi judges and
    lawyers were a part of the ulema, and the most senior members were appointed to the Council of Ulema.
    The Council members directly advised the king and issued fatwas, opinions on Islamic law. Once a
    fatwa had been issued, the mutaween were expected to carry out its conditions. The government
    officially recognized the religious authority of the ulema, and the ulema in turn provided the support of
    the religious community for government decisions.20 For example, in 1979 the ulema issued a fatwa that
    supported the use of force against those who had seized the Grand Mosque in Mecca. This situation
    led to the ulema having more powers throughout the Kingdom, although beginning in 2005 their
    influence was dampened as the country gradually opened to some Western norms.21 In 2010, King
    Abdullah mandated that only clerics of the Council of Ulema had the authority to issue fatwas, a move
    some saw as the assertion of government control over the religious authority.22 The strategic
    relationship between government and the ulema was meant to increase stability in the nation, although
    many were unsure how much influence the ulema had on governmental affairs.

    Islamic law also influenced the finance industry in Saudi Arabia, and Islamic finance was common
    in the area. Shari’a law forbade the collection of interest on loans, as well as investments in goods such
    as pork and alcohol, and emphasized risk-sharing as part of raising capital. By 2016 Islamic finance
    accounted for two-thirds of total bank financing.23 Of the 12 commercially licensed banks in the
    Kingdom, 4 were fully compliant with Islamic law and the others provided a mix of Islamic and
    conventional banking services. Islamic banking was growing relatively quickly in the Kingdom, and
    was monitored and regulated by the SAMA.

    Two of the most important institutional problems facing the country were education and the
    judiciary. “These institutions have to be substantially fixed were Vision 2030 to succeed.”24 Domestic
    education was still plagued by weak teachers and the wrong subjects. And while the foreign
    educational push of Saudis to the USA was a good idea, it had been poorly managed. The judiciary
    took forever, too often operating with outdated principles and rules. Simple property cases, for
    example, could take up to 10 years.

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    6

    Current Government

    Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud was crowned king of Saudi Arabia following the death of his
    predecessor and half-brother, King Abdullah, in February 2015. Salman appointed Muqrin bin
    Abdulaziz Al Saud, the youngest surviving son of Ibn Saud, as crown prince and promptly began
    reforming the country. The king, with the help of his young son Mohammad Bin Salman, abolished
    eleven committees that former kings had created and replaced them with two agencies, the Council of
    Political and Security Affairs and the Council of Economic and Development Affairs, in an effort to
    increase efficiency.25 However, in part to appease those who were worried about the succession of
    power in the country as the sons of Ibn Saud aged, 79 year-old King Salman appointed his nephew,
    Muhammad bin Nayef, as crown prince a few months later, replacing Muqrin. Nayef’s appointment
    represented the eventual transition of leadership of the Kingdom from the sons of Ibn Saud to his
    grandsons. Nayef was largely known for his work in dismantling Al Qaeda in the Kingdom and
    strengthening relations with the United States and other western nations. While Nayef was highly
    respected internationally, Mohammad Bin Salman was given increasing control over national policy.
    Named deputy crown prince later in 2015, Mohammad Bin Salman served as defense minister and
    head of the Council for Economic Affairs and Development.

    In 2017, King Salman took an extraordinary step of relieving Nayef of his duties and appointing his
    31-year-old son Mohammad as the crown prince, leaving the position of deputy crown prince empty.
    And less than a year later, Crown Prince Mohammed, as head of a new anti-corruption agency, arrested
    dozens of Saudi princes and businessmen, including the billionaire investor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal
    and his putative rival for the throne, Prince Mutaib bin Abdullah – head of the Saudi National Guard.26
    Those arrested during the crackdown were accused of corruption, but some thought the arrests were a
    move to amass power.

    Bin Salman’s power was thus further consolidated, and while his youthfulness and reform-minded
    approach to the country was largely embraced by the younger Saudi population, more conservative
    Saudi’s viewed his temperament as impulsive and were wary of the progressive reforms he
    suggested.27 In addition to his economic power, MBS now oversaw the three main security services in
    the Kingdom – the military, internal security services and the National Guard, control of which had
    historically been divided between different branches of Ibn Saud’s descendants.28 A former US
    ambassador remarked that it was a “coup de grâce of the old system,” and that “all power has now
    been concentrated in the hands of Mohammed bin Salman.”29 The Economist described the crown prince
    as the most powerful man in Saudi Arabia since its founder.30

    Culture in the Kingdom

    Social behavior in Saudi Arabia was heavily monitored and dependent upon the values of Shari’a
    law. Social norms included the wearing of traditional clothes for men and women. Men typically wore
    a thobe, a floor-length tunic, accompanied by a shemagh and aqal, a red and white warp held atop the
    head with a black ring. However, younger Saudi males were increasingly drawn to Western clothes.
    Women were required to wear an abaya, a black robe that covered the body, as well as a headscarf. The
    use of the abaya in the Kingdom was based on tradition and was meant to obscure women, for their
    visibility might incite fitna, or chaos, in a man’s heart.31 Some wore a niqab, a black veil that covered
    the entire face besides the eyes.

    Since 1979, in the wake of the terrorist attack, Saudi Arabia had curtailed women’s rights; the World
    Economic Forum ranked it 141 (out of 144 countries) in terms of gender parity, particularly concerning
    economic opportunity and political empowerment. Female unemployment stood at 32% (see Exhibit

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abdullah_of_Saudi_Arabia

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhammad_bin_Nayef

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    7

    13), and women worked in a segregated space. One woman remarked that “you need to be in a
    desegregated workspace for women to rise in a company so they can be integrated in the total
    workforce.”32 And Saudi women were prevented from obtaining a driving license until 2018, which,
    personal freedoms aside, had increased the transportation costs associated with work and sapped
    disposable incomes. Saudi Arabia had very limited public transportation, and with half of the
    population historically prohibited from driving, ride-hailing applications such as Uber were welcomed
    into the country. Some noted the contradiction of not allowing women to mix with non-familial men
    but allowing them to be driven around by complete strangers.33 While steps had been taken towards
    increasing the role of women in society, such as the ability for them to get an education, go to the gym,
    participate in the Olympics, attend sporting events, appear on television and vote, they were still
    unable to travel independently and composed only 13% of the Saudi workforce in 2015. Human Rights
    Watch stated that the system of male guardianship effectively rendered women legal minors.34
    Concerning further changes to the establishment, one woman stated that, although she was initially
    hopeful, “I’m a Saudi woman, so we are born with very little hope to begin with.”35 For many years,
    commented another, “the government has been a paternal figure. The government held back
    innovation by default.”36 One woman observed that after 1979, the clergy had wanted more power.37
    Her husband added on “but now, there’s a new sheriff in town.”38 The Crown Prince “was using shock
    treatment. They don’t have the luxury of time for change now.”3

    9

    Saudi youth also faced restrictions in their public lives, as they were not allowed to date openly and
    their entertainment options had been historically limited. Relationships were mostly arranged, and
    cinemas were banned in the kingdom. Saudi Arabia heavily regulated traditional media sources.
    Reporters Without Borders ranked Saudi Arabia 168th out of 180 countries on its 2017 Freedom of Press
    Index. Internet content was also heavily regulated, as the government cracked down on offensive or
    anti-Islamic content, as well as content that criticized the Saudi royal family. However, social media
    sites such as Facebook and Twitter were allowed and provided Saudis a space to more freely discuss
    their opinions. “More things are considered the norm,” observed one student. “It is expanding year
    by year, but religion limits you from certain aspects.”40 The internet was deemed by some as the least
    repressive space for expression in the Kingdom, and the government had even responded to some
    opinions expressed online.41

    The acceptance of smartphones led to the proliferation of social media: by 2016, 10 million of the
    Kingdom’s 11 million active social media accounts were accessed via smartphone.42 Saudi youth
    comprised the majority of social media users. Saudi society provided ideal conditions for a social media
    boom, as social media provided a medium through which the youth could more freely express
    themselves, meet friends and those of the opposite sex and entertain themselves.43 Saudi Arabia grew
    to have the highest penetration of Twitter and per-capita consumption of YouTube in the world (see
    Exhibit 16 for social comparators).44 While the Kingdom had banned calls via Skype and WhatsApp,
    citing that they did not adhere with telecom regulations, that ban was lifted in 2017.

    Energy

    The Kingdom had long relied on oil for its economic development. Saudi Arabia reported 266
    billion barrels of proven crude oil reserves – the largest in the world (see Exhibit 6). Natural gas, at 8.4
    trillion cubic meters, was the world’s fifth largest gas reserve.45 In 2017 Saudi Arabia was the world’s
    largest exporter of oil and its second largest producer, following Russia. Saudi Arabia produced over
    10 million barrels of crude oil a day in 2016, and oil constituted 85% of the nation’s export revenues.46
    The Kingdom had played a critical role as OPEC’s swing producer, possessing a spare production
    capacity of over 2 million barrels per day.47

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    8

    The state-owned Saudi Aramco dominated oil production in Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom had
    granted exploration rights to the American firm Socal (later Standard Oil) in 1933, and the country’s
    first commercially productive oil well, Dammam No. 7, was discovered in 1938. Saudi oil was
    developed by a cartel of four companies – Esso (now Exxon), Chevron, Texaco and Mobil. Together
    they produced enough Saudi oil to meet, but not exceed, global demand. By 1980, however, the
    Kingdom had nationalized their assets, under the control of the Saudi Arabian Oil Company, or
    Aramco. 48 Although government owned, Aramco operated as a private firm (albeit with direction
    from the Saudi Energy Ministry). The Saudi state benefitted from Aramco’s profits through three
    channels: taxes (which had been 85% after costs, capital expenditures, etc. were deducted, though this
    was lowered to 50% in 2016), royalties at 20% and dividends.49

    Despite its abundance of the natural resource, Saudi Arabia’s energy markets faced many challenges
    in the twenty-first century. Domestic consumption in the Kingdom grew at a record 7-9% in the years
    from 2010 to 2015, spurred by population growth, economic prosperity and low, subsidized energy
    prices. In 2016 domestic consumption amounted to 3.9 million barrels of oil a day – about 40% of the
    Kingdom’s crude oil production.50 Generous government subsidies had stimulated the rapid increase
    in energy consumption: energy subsidies amounted to $61 billion in 2015, just under 10% of GDP. The
    government subsidized diesel prices, gasoline and electricity. Gasoline prices stood at $0.16 per liter in
    2015, and Saudi citizens paid 60% less than international prices for electricity that same year.51 Saudi
    Arabia relied on subsidized oil for around half of its electricity generation, a reliance that cut directly
    into the country’s oil export earnings and caused the Kingdom to forgo significant revenue.52 What’s
    more, potable water, produced by energy-intensive desalination, had long been free. These artificially
    low prices led some to worry that firms would have less incentive to invest in productivity-enhancing
    research.

    Saudi officials had long known that the country would need to diversify from its dependence on oil
    revenues and government spending, but attempts at diversification (such as a strategy to create six
    new economic cities in the 2000s) tended to fall short of expectations.53 Price fluctuations, both rising
    and falling, induced elements of the Dutch Disease. The instability caused by the outbreak of the Arab
    Spring and the Shale Revolution in America forced the government to carefully consider the social
    impact of price changes, as many Saudi’s viewed these subsidies as an entitlement.54

    However, the international rise of new fuel sources, such as shale gas and tight oil, precipitated a
    sharp drop in oil prices in late-2014 (see Exhibit 7). As supply surged, oil prices fell from an average
    of $115 per barrel to under $50 by the end of the year. The government increased most energy and
    water prices between 10 and 134% in 2016 to counteract its swelling budget deficit (which had reached
    16% of GDP), and planned to raise them to parity with the international standard as part of Vision
    2030.55 The growth of domestic energy consumption had fallen from 4.6% in 2015 to just 0.2% in 2016.56

    In an attempt to push up international prices late in 2016, OPEC members and Russia agreed to cut
    production (see Exhibit 8). As part of a total reduction of 1.2 million barrels per day (mmbpd), Saudi
    Arabia’s cut was around 600,000 barrels per day. Still, this was of limited benefit as US shale producers
    kept supplying the market with some 5 mmbpd. One observer remarked that competition in the oil
    industry was “sheikhs versus shale.”57

    Energy diversification

    These changes to Saudi Arabia’s energy economy further intensified the need for the Kingdom to
    diversify. By 2015, the country had begun formulating plans to increase solar and wind power sources
    and to develop nuclear energy. Abdullah had created the King Abdullah City for Atomic and

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034
    9

    Renewable Energy (KACARE) back in 2010 to conduct feasibility studies as to how other energy
    sources could be added to the Kingdom’s mix. The government allegedly planned to develop 30 solar
    and wind projects as part of a $50 billion program to boost and diversify power generation, hoping to
    produce 10% of its power from renewable sources by 2023.58 It also announced plans to build 16 nuclear
    reactors by 2040, at a cost surpassing $80 billion.59 Aramco itself was diversifying by increasing
    investments into downstream refining industries and facilitating the adoption of alternative energy
    sources.60

    Aramco increased exploration efforts for natural gas. Aramco managed the production of gas in the
    country, but domestic demand was so high that the country consumed all that was produced. Gas
    consumption was about 38% of total domestic energy consumption in Saudi Arabia, and in 20

    17

    Aramco had an active exploration program for unconventional resources such as shale and tight gas to
    aid in meeting increased future energy demand.61 The Kingdom’s unconventional potential was
    estimated to be 10 times the volume of its conventional oil and gas reserves, and it planned to double
    its gas production capacity in the next decade.62 The increased use of natural gas and renewable sources
    would also enable the Kingdom to increase oil exports and lower carbon dioxide emissions, a goal of
    the Paris Climate Agreement to which Saudi Arabia was a signatory.63

    International Affairs

    Saudi Arabia had long depended on its oil wealth and its relationship with the US for its security
    and stability, but the outbreak of the Arab Spring posed a threat to the Kingdom’s rule and regional
    order. In 2010 Mohammed Bouazizi, a street vendor in Tunisia, set himself on fire in protest of his
    treatment by the police, an act that incited riots throughout the country. Unrest spread to neighboring
    countries as calls for democracy broke out across the region. The governments of Tunisia, Egypt,
    Yemen and Libya were overthrown, and the Kingdom found itself surrounded by civil wars and failed
    states.64 Saudi Arabia experienced some unrest at this time, including the self-immolation of a Saudi
    man in 2011 and protests of limited scale in Riyadh and the Eastern Province. To prevent further
    disruption, the Saudi government announced increases in social welfare allocations by $35 billion in
    February 2011, and by a further $96 billion the following month.65 The increased expenditure was
    largely able to quell the discontent in the country.

    The Kingdom also worried that the regional uprisings could pave the way for increased Iranian
    influence in the region. Saudi Arabia had been wary of Iran since the overthrow of the Shah during
    the Iranian Revolution in 1979, and the schism between Sunnis and Shias furthered the discomfort.
    Saudi Arabia worried that the predominantly Shia Iran would encourage a rebellion of the Kingdom’s
    Shia population, largely located in the Eastern Province. In an effort to circumvent increased Iranian
    power, and to contain growing Shia dissent in Bahrain, former King Abdullah proposed a Gulf Union
    between the members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (the GCC, composed of the United Arab
    Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar and Kuwait), though many believed that this was an
    attempt for the Kingdom to impose hegemony over the region.66 Only Bahrain and Saudi Arabia
    backed the proposal at the time.

    Tensions between the two nations escalated further with the outbreak of the civil war in Syria in
    2011 and then Saudi Arabia’s military intervention in Yemen in 2015. Saudi Arabia supported rebel
    militant groups in Syria, including ones with Islamist ideologies, and provided them with military and
    financial aid.67 Iran, both militarily and financially, supported Syria’s government under Assad, who
    was one of Iran’s closest allies. Some noted that their interventions may have prolonged and deepened
    the Syrian conflict.68 Similarly, the rise of the Houthi rebels who Iran allegedly supported in Yemen

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    10

    prompted then-deputy crown prince Muhammed bin Salman to initiate airstrikes on the country in
    defense of the government. The war continued into 2017, and led to significant civilian casualties, a
    third of which were children, as well as famine throughout the nation and an outbreak of cholera.69
    Amnesty International accused both sides of committing war crimes.

    The pattern of supporting opposing forces in regional conflicts was viewed by some as a sort of
    proxy war between the Kingdom and Iran as they competed over control of the area.70 Tensions were
    further increased in 2017 when the prime minister of Lebanon and dual Saudi-Lebanese citizen, Saad
    Hariri, announced his resignation in a televised broadcast from Saudi Arabia. He stated that increased
    Iranian influence with Hezbollah in Lebanon had prompted his decision, though his actions raised
    questions over whether Saudi Arabia had applied undue pressure.71 There was some concern that the
    proxy war could erupt into actual warfare; the Houthis had launched dozens of missiles from Yemen,
    some intercepted by the Saudis on the outskirts of Riyadh airport.

    Relations between Saudi Arabia and the US had also been strained. Many blamed the US for
    historically exacerbating regional tensions. The stationing of 600,000 US troops in Saudi Arabia when
    Iraq invaded Kuwait during the 1990 Gulf War drew criticism from Saudi fundamentalists who
    believed the country was too open to Western interests.72 Anti-US sentiment spread throughout the
    nation, and was manifest in the 1996 car bombing of US barracks and the September 11 attacks in New
    York and Washington. Fifteen of the 19 terrorists involved in that attack were Saudi citizens, as was
    Osama bin Laden, the leader of Al Qaeda.73 While the Bush administration’s invasion of Iraq in 2003
    further destabilized the region, President Obama expressed concern that Saudi Arabia exacerbated
    regional conflict.74 President Trump was notably friendlier to Saudi Arabia, tweeting that he had “great
    confidence in King Salman and the Crown Prince . . . they know exactly what they are doing.”75

    The Israeli-Palestinian conflict was a source of conflict between the US and Saudi Arabia, as the US
    had been a staunch supporter of Israel while the Kingdom supported the Palestinian cause. In 2013,
    Saudi Arabia rejected a seat on the UN Security Council after years of petitioning for it – protesting the
    perceived weak stance of the US with regard to Syria, Iran, Egypt and Israel. While both the US and
    Saudi Arabia had the goal of maintaining stability in the Middle East, the Kingdom accused the US of
    not doing enough to topple Assad’s regime in Syria. And while the USA, China, Russia, France,
    Germany and Iran had agreed to a ten-year moratorium on Iranian nuclear development in 2015,
    President Donald Trump declared it was the worst treaty ever signed and threatened to decertify it.

    2017 also ushered in the Kingdom’s more aggressive foreign policies. Mohammed bin Salman, along
    with leaders from Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt, ended relations with Qatar in the
    summer of 2017. They imposed an embargo on the gas-rich nation while accusing it of financing
    terrorism and destabilizing the region and demanding that it shut down the broadcaster Al Jazeera,
    decrease cooperation with Iran and stop supporting the Muslim Brotherhood. The Economist noted that
    the embargo on Qatar might succeed only in harming the Gulf Cooperation Council and pushing Qatar
    towards Iran.76

    While the wars in Yemen and Syria continued, the icy relations between the Kingdom and Israel
    were beginning to thaw. Both nations aspired to limit the power of Iran in the region, and although
    they had no diplomatic relations their shared interests had opened a dialogue. In 2017 the prime
    minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, stated that “when Israel and the main Arab countries see eye-
    to-eye, you should pay attention, because something important is happening,” and declared that
    relations with the Middle East were the “best ever.”77

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    11

    Extremism in the Kingdom

    Saudi Arabia considered itself a leader in the Middle East and as a custodian for preserving Islamic
    rights throughout the world. However, an increasing youthful population coupled with heightened
    unemployment led to internal instability in the nation. Two-thirds of the Saudi population were under
    30 in 2016, and 27% were under the age of 14. As youth unemployment hovered around 30% (see
    Exhibit 13), some of these unsettled youth were drawn to extremist movements such as the Islamic
    State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Approximately 1,000 young Saudis had become jihadis in Syria’s civil
    war, and around 2,500 Saudi Arabians fought for ISIS, making the nation the second largest source for
    ISIS recruits.78 While some clerics were accused of encouraging their youth to become jihads in Syria,
    the Saudi government announced it would imprison Saudis who fought abroad or endorsed terrorist
    groups in 2014.79 They also undertook measures to curb terrorist financing, with significant US
    assistance.80

    The Kingdom was not only a supplier of extremist fighters; it was also a victim of terrorist attacks.
    Following the Iraq War in 2003, Saudi Arabia began its counterterrorism campaign, which aimed to
    combat the ideological justifications for violence by utilizing education and debate.81 But attacks had
    continued – in 2015 ISIS militants attacked four mosques throughout the Kingdom, killing 38 people.
    And in 2016 four suicide bombers, also suspected of being affiliated with ISIS, attacked three locations
    in the Kingdom, killing 4.

    Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy

    Monetary Policy in the Kingdom had been determined by the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority
    (SAMA) since 1952. SAMA was tasked with issuing the nation’s currency (the riyal), managing the
    Kingdom’s foreign exchange reserves, enacting policies to stabilize prices and the exchange rate, and
    supervising commercial banks, insurance firms, and other financial entities.82 Saudi Arabia, along with
    the other members of the GCC, had pegged its currency to the USD since 1986. The exchange rate had
    been consistently set at 3.75 riyals per USD since the peg’s creation (see Exhibit 3). The existence of the
    peg led to Saudi Arabia’s monetary policy being set in tandem to that of the US. When the US raised
    interest rates in 2015 Saudi Arabia followed suit, as it did for the following hikes in 2016 and 2017.

    Saudi Arabia had typically exhibited strong fiscal surpluses, cushioned with revenues from oil
    during periods of high oil prices (see Exhibit 10). However, this dependency on oil revenues led to
    increasingly large fiscal deficits in the years following 2014, after oil prices fell below $50 a barrel. Oil
    revenues had usually made up 90% of the nation’s budget; but the fall in prices led to deficits of 15.8%
    of GDP in 2015 and 17.2% of GDP in 2016. These deficits were financed primarily by drawing down
    the Kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund, as well as new borrowing.83 And while the deficit was expected
    to shrink to 8.9% of GDP in 2017, to fully cover expenditures the government would require oil prices
    of at least $70 a barrel.84

    The Kingdom approved the 2018 budget in December, 2017. The government announced the largest
    ever budgeted expenditure of 978 billion riyals, a 72 billion riyal stimulus package for the private sector,
    and a separate, 133 billion riyal-increase in capital spending by the nation’s investment funds (see
    Exhibit 11). Non-oil revenues were expected to rise, bolstered by increased expat fees, taxes, and
    increased electricity prices.

    Because of oil’s effects on fiscal policy, on the exchange rate and on employment, Saudi Arabia
    exemplified the “rentier state.” This concept, first articulated in the 1960s, highlighted multiple
    difficulties for economic development, caused by an abundance of natural resources. Rentier status

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    12

    had seemed to affect the culture of the nation, as there was a strong preference for “easy gain rather
    than productive labor.”85 Saudi leaders were aware of this dependency and its effects, and while prior
    attempts to diversify had limited impact, many believed that the new set of reforms in Vision 2030
    would be influential, as the Kingdom could no longer rely on stable oil revenues.

    SAMA had customarily deposited a large portion of the Kingdom’s revenues in a Foreign Holding
    Account, invested in assets abroad (see Exhibit 12). But with the sharp drop in oil revenues in 2015,
    government deficits had to be funded with significant withdrawals from the fund (see Exhibit 10). The
    Kingdom had also created the Public Investment Fund (PIF) in 1971, which invested in domestic firms
    and monitored state companies. The PIF would be essential to carrying out much of the diversification
    entailed under Vision 2030.

    Liberalization

    Under King Fahd, with Abdullah as crown prince, Saudi Arabia had taken initial steps towards
    liberalization, such as some privatization, diversification and foreign investment into the Kingdom.
    Even trade was liberalized in 2005, when Saudi Arabia joined the World Trade Organization.86 The
    attendant reforms required the Kingdom to allow foreign banks and insurance companies to establish
    branches in the Kingdom, strengthen international property rights, reduce tariffs and allow foreign
    telecom companies to own up to 70% of joint ventures. Saudi Arabia showed that it could successfully
    privatize priority sectors when it floated 30% of the state-owned Saudi Telecom Company (STC) to the
    public and created a regulatory commission to oversee the industry. STC would eventually expand
    into nine markets.

    The private sector in Saudi Arabia had long been underdeveloped, but the need for private capital
    as well as the consequences of joining the WTO led to increased opportunities for private firms. The
    Supreme Economic Council, which was created in 1999 to oversee the Kingdom’s economic, industrial,
    agricultural and employment policies, was tasked with leading the national privatization program.
    The government sold parts of or increased private participation in the Saudi Arabian Basic Industry
    Corporation, the Saudi Arabian Mining Corporation, the Saudi Electricity Company, the Saudi Post
    Corporation, and the General Port Authority.87 But the private sector was still dependent on
    government spending. The economist John Sfakianakis remarked that “if you do any model where
    you take out public spending, then private spending will grind to a halt.”88 The private sector
    remained relatively small with predominantly foreign employees, as Saudi citizens tended to prefer
    government work.89

    Abdullah’s Strategy

    Abdullah, who became king upon Fahd’s death in 2005, would rule Saudi Arabia for ten years. He
    gently and gradually led the nation in its attempts to liberalize trade and diversify in the early 21st
    century (see Exhibit 9 for trade details). He tried to decrease the country’s dependence on oil revenues,
    to increase job opportunities for Saudi citizens, to reinforce privatization and began reforming
    institutions. To help build the non-oil economy, the government identified clusters for further
    development- automotive, minerals and metals, plastics, solar energy and home appliances – and gave
    SAGIA, the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority, scope to promote investment and
    modernization. During SAGIA’s early years, it formed the National Competitiveness Center with the
    goal of monitoring and assessing the domestic business climate. The World Bank’s Doing Business
    rankings scored the country as 26th in the world by 2013 (although this had slipped back to 92nd by 2017
    – see Exhibit 15). The World Economic Forum viewed the Kingdom as 29th, of 138 countries, in

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    13

    competitiveness. Restrictive labor regulations, an inadequately educated workforce and access to
    financing were listed as the top impediments to doing business.90

    SAGIA also promoted the creation of six new economic cities. These cities were to be developed by
    the private sector to enhance knowledge-based industries, though the global financial crisis curtailed
    investment and led to cancellations. Those that remained in development, or whose development
    resumed following the crisis, were the King Abdullah Economic City near Jeddah and Jazan Economic
    City. They were governed by a spin-off of SAGIA, the Economic Cities Authority.91 King Abdullah
    Economic City had generated $7.9 billion of investment by 2017, enough to fund its spending for ten
    years as it developed a deep-sea port, a logistics hub, a sports and recreation center and more than
    6,500 residential properties.92 Companies such as Pfizer and Mars had established themselves in the
    city, attracted by lower taxes and cheap energy.

    Foreign workers’ visas proved problematic for businesses, as they took a significant amount of time
    to obtain and were a common source of fraud. Revisions to the nation’s visa scheme were introduced
    in 2016 to limit immigration and to increase foreign-worker mobility within the Kingdom by delinking
    them from their sponsor. The changes also made it harder for firms to employ low-wage foreign labor
    and increased visa fees. The Nitaqat program, which had been implemented in 2011, allowed the Labor
    Ministry to rank firms by their proportion of employed Saudi citizens. The highest ranking companies
    received preferential treatment for hiring foreign workers while low-ranking ones faced penalties to
    promote the “Saudisation” of the economy.93 Nitaqat restrictions were tightened in 2016 to promote the
    hiring of more Saudi citizens. Twelve million foreigners worked in the Kingdom in 2016, and
    dominated the lower-wage, private sector (see Exhibit 14).94

    Foreign direct investment in the Kingdom had slowed by 2016, hindered by the Nitaqat program,
    by political and social tensions and by reduced access to credit.95 FDI inflows were $7.5 billion in 20

    16

    – the lowest inflow since 2004, before the Kingdom joined the WTO, and lower than the inflows to the
    United Arab Emirates and Egypt.96 However, the Kingdom’s FDI outflows reached a record $8 billion,
    largely as a result of diversification measures.97 The top investors in the Kingdom were the US, France
    and Japan, and the majority of foreign investments were in the petrochemical industry.98

    In 2016, Saudi Arabia had a $77.6 billion trade surplus in goods (see Exhibit 2). The vast majority
    of exports was still crude oil, refined products, plastics and organic chemicals. The main countries the
    Kingdom exported to were China, the US, India and South Korea. Most of its imports came from China,
    the US, Germany and Japan.

    Saudi Arabia had established its stock market, Tadawul, in 2003. The Capital Markets Authority
    regulated the exchange, and by 2017 it listed 176 companies with a market capitalization of $449
    billion.99 Three IPOs occurred in 2016 and were valued at $2.4 billion. The stock exchange had grown
    substantially since it began operations, and opened to foreigners in 2015. In 2017 Sarah Al Suhaimi
    became the first woman chairperson of the exchange. Suhaimi had previously been the first woman
    head of a Saudi investment bank. The CEO of Tadawul, Khalid Al Hussan, was working towards
    reclassifying the exchange as an emerging market, hoping to generate further investor inflows. Despite
    these changes, many doubted the exchange’s ability to become a regional financial center akin to Dubai
    and Abu Dhabi.

    Vision 2030

    In April, 2016, then-deputy crown prince Salman announced Vision 2030, a plan that detailed a
    sweeping transformation of the Saudi economy. The goals of the Vision would be laid out in the

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    14

    National Transformation Program (NTP), which presented implementation details as well as deadlines
    for 346 projects through 2020. In the context of meager growth, 1.4% in 2016 and projected to fall to
    0.5% in 2017, high unemployment and a massive reliance on public expenditure (80% of all household
    income came from the government), Vision 2030 aimed to diversify growth, reduce dependence on oil,
    and increase the role of the private sector and employment opportunities over the next 15 years (see
    Appendix A).100 The country was preparing for an economic situation in which oil prices remained
    low – one expert noted that “the entire business has been recalibrated,” and that $100 oil is an
    “aberration that won’t recur absent an international crisis.”101

    The incredibly ambitious blueprint documented a variety of social and economic reforms, though
    no political ones. While the Saudi government employed more than five million Saudis, the civil
    service alone was more than 1.2 million. “Do I need them all, today?” asked Sulaiman Al Hamdan, the
    Civil Service Minister. The answer was “no.” Al Hamdan was overseeing an organizational
    restructuring and the establishment of a five-tier performance evaluation. Yet some of the
    “government bureaucrats don’t like to hear this…and will fight to the last minute…”102 “There has
    been increasing talk between government and business…previously this was not possible.”103 The
    Vision set forth the social goals of increasing women’s workforce participation from 22% to 30%,
    increasing the number of pilgrimages made to the Kingdom, increasing non-pilgrimage tourism and
    providing more entertainment options. MBS declared that the country would become a pillar of
    moderation, tolerance, excellence, discipline, equity and transparency.104 Yet some of the suggested
    social changes, although accompanied by repeated affirmations of Islamic values, discomfited the
    religious establishment, which viewed them as indicative of western and liberal influences.

    Economic reforms composed the majority of the document, and the primary economic objective
    was to enhance the growth of the non-oil private sector, which grew only 0.1% in 2016. The Vision
    aimed to add 450,000 jobs in the private sector by 2020, increase FDI to 5.7% of GDP, increase the share
    of the non-oil sector from 16% to 50% of total revenues, increase the private sector’s contribution to
    GDP from 40 to 65% (with the SME contribution raised from 20 to 35%), along with other measures.
    The Kingdom planned to increase taxes to raise revenues, and in 2017 imposed a selective commodity
    tax of 100% on tobacco and energy drinks along with a 50% tax on soda. A 5% value-added tax was
    meant to be implemented in 2018, as well as a monthly fee to foreign workers in the Kingdom. The
    government continued to reduce subsidies, but provided direct payments to households in need, as
    part of its efforts to balance its budget by 2023, another goal of the Vision. Privatization plans were
    announced for 16 sectors, including the post office, healthcare, airports, airlines, education, electricity,
    water, chemicals, amidst others. These efforts were part of the government’s plan to reposition itself
    from a service provider to a service regulator.

    Perhaps the most shocking reform was the crown prince’s intent to privatize up to 5% of the state-
    owned crown jewel Aramco. Heralded as the largest potential IPO in history, valued at a maximum
    of $100 billion, the proceeds from the IPO would be invested into the PIF, and the remaining ownership
    of Aramco would be under government control. This could make the PIF the largest sovereign wealth
    fund in the world. The PIF had been expanded already, as it had invested $3.5 billion in Uber and
    partnered with Japan’s Softbank to start a $100 billion technology fund – the world’s largest private
    equity fund.105

    The Kingdom also announced the creation of two new tourism projects: a Red Sea Beach tourism
    project and the construction of a $500 billion futuristic mega city, Neom. The Red Sea tourism project
    would cover an area larger than Belgium, including 50 islands, and would be developed by the PIF to
    attract “luxury tourists.” One government document stated that it would be a semi-autonomous
    region, leading to speculation that the nation’s strict dress code and alcohol ban might not be enforced.

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    15

    The crown prince announced plans for Neom at an international business conference in Riyadh. He
    described the proposed, 10,000 square mile city as one that would have no room for “anything
    traditional,” and stated that it would have more robots than people and would be powered by solar
    and wind energy.106

    The changes would need to be speedily and efficiently implemented to bring about change by 2030,
    a dire challenge in a country described by a Saudi minister as similar to “an obese man disfigured from
    decades of gluttony and idleness.”107 Initial steps included cutting the salaries and benefits of state
    employees, an act that cut the incomes of approximately 60% of Saudi employees by more than 20%.
    This caused national uproar, and to appease the public King Salman issued a royal decree undoing the
    pay cuts, and backdating the decree so it was as if the cuts never were.108 This act reinforced the need
    for the Kingdom to consider social and political impacts when devising reforms, especially as the public
    could view the decreased subsidies and potential future welfare cuts as a break of the “social contract”
    in the Kingdom, where the citizens remain loyal to the monarchy so long as they remain prosperous.109
    Some wealthy Saudis began sending money abroad and the Minister of Planning noted that “society is
    split” regarding the reforms, but that the government will “win them through more transparency and
    success.”110 In order to succeed, the minister noted that the Kingdom would need “political will, which
    the prince provides; money, which we have; and human capacity, which we can hire.”111

    While the country engaged in increased conflict with its neighbors, and while growth stagnated and
    unemployment swelled, some wondered whether the country would survive with only economic and
    social reforms, or whether political reform would follow if an increasingly distressed Saudi population
    revolted.

    Looking Ahead

    As the New Year approached, business leaders and government officials in Saudi Arabia and
    elsewhere contemplated the scope of change accomplished during the past 12 months and its likely
    progress in the next few years. One thing on which everyone (except a few imams) agreed: change
    was long overdue. But beyond that consensus, there remained disagreement and uncertainty.

    Was Vision 2030 too aggressive, indeed unrealistic? “We have no other options except to move fast
    to execute,” commented the Minister of Civil Service, “because we have slept for a long time.”112 That
    is, had Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman bitten off more than the country could chew? Would
    insufficient implementation of the vision, and the National Transformation Plan, hurt public support
    for the program and MBS? Or was it good to have ambitious targets which would inspire a country,
    even if not fully attained? “It will be tough,” admitted Fahad Alturki, “but it is doable.”113 How would
    foreigners, especially potential investors, view the turmoil of change? Would they invest, or wait and
    see?

    A second interesting question pertained to the price of oil and the government’s ability to
    implement change. That is, if oil prices stayed below $60 per barrel, would the Saudi government have
    sufficient revenues to implement the changes while caring for its people? Conversely, if oil prices
    recovered to the 2014 level of $100 per barrel, would the government maintain the incentive to reform,
    or slip back into the oil-leveraged comfort of past decades?

    Foreign policy too remained a significant headache. If Saudi Arabia was to modernize this fast, it
    needed a more stable environment in the Middle East. Crises in Syria, Palestine, Yemen, Iraq and Iran,
    partly fueled by the Kingdom, did not engender an environment for social and economic reform.

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030
    16

    And finally, and fundamentally, was the issue of social change. How much would Saudi Arabia’s
    social and cultural environment have to change if Vision 2030 were to be achieved? As Prince Bandar
    bin Sultan, ambassador to the United States had remarked years earlier, “we like to modernize, but not
    necessarily Westernize, and we are different…”114 Still today this remained the salient question; could
    Saudi Arabia modernize, without westernizing?

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034
    17

    Exhibit 1 Map of Saudi Arabia

    Source: Saudi Arabia Administrative map, the Central Intelligence Agency, accessed at

    https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/cia-maps-publications/map-downloads/saudi-arabia-
    administrative /image .

    https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/cia-maps-publications/map-downloads/saudi-arabia-administrative /image

    https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/resources/cia-maps-publications/map-downloads/saudi-arabia-administrative /image

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    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    20

    Exhibit 5 Saudi Arabia’s Royal Family Tree (Partial)

    Source: Wall Street Journal Graphics, December 3, 2017, accessed at http://graphics.wsj.com/saudi-arabia-family-tree/.

    http://graphics.wsj.com/saudi-arabia-family-tree/

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    21

    Exhibit 6a Saudi Crude Oil Exports

    Source: Saudi Chartbook, Jadwa Investments, November 2017, page 9.

    Exhibit 6b Saudi Oil Production

    Source: Saudi Chartbook, Jadwa Investments, November 2017, page 9.

    Exhibit 6c Annual Energy Production, 2008-2016

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    Crude Oil a 9,198 8,184 8,166 9,311 9,763 9,637 9,713 10,193 10,460

    OPEC Spare Capacity a 1,398 3,790 3,983 3,053 2,123 2,158 2,073 1,463 1,148

    Marketed Nat. Gas** 80,440 78,450 87,660 92,260 99,330 100,030 102,380 104,450 110,860

    Refined Products a 1,971 1,911 1,914 1,857 1,927 1,842 2,104 2,481 2,826

    Source: Created by casewriter using data from the Organization of the Petoleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Annual
    Statistical Bulletin 2017. Spare capacity data is from the US Energy Information Administration, December 2017.

    a 1,000 b/d.

    b mn cubic units.

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    22

    Exhibit 7 Crude Oil Price, West Texas Intermediate

    Source: NASDAQ, January 12, 2018.

    Exhibit 8a OPEC Crude Production (million barrels per day)

    Source: Oil Market Report, International Energy Agency, November 14, 2017, page 16.

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    23

    Exhibit 8b Non-OPEC Supply Reductions Commitment (thousand barrels per day)

    Source: Oil Market Report, International Energy Agency, November 14, 2017, page 21.

    Exhibit 9 Saudi Arabia’s Top Exports and Imports (billion USD)

    Top Exports 2008 2010 2014 2016

    Mineral fuels, oils, distillation products 281 215.2 284.7 163.5
    Plastics and articles thereof 7.1 11.3 18.9 14.4
    Organic chemicals 6 7.4 13.9 7.6
    Ships, boats and other floating structures 1.3 0.6 2.3 2.4
    Aluminum and articles thereof 0.6 0.5 2 1.9
    Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6
    Rubber and articles thereof 0 0 0.1 1.3
    Vehicles other than railway, tramway 1.8 1.2 1.4 1.1
    Electrical, electronic equipment 1.6 1 1 1.1
    Pearls, precious stones, metals, coins 0.5 0.5 0.8 1

    Top Imports 2008 2010 2014 2016

    Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery 20.3 15.9 26.3 17.8
    Vehicles other than railway, tramway 16.2 15.6 23.2 17.7
    Electrical, electronic equipment 10.6 10.1 18.9 14.3
    Pharmaceutical products 2.7 3.3 5.3 5.2
    Commodities not specified according to kind 0 0 0 4.9
    Articles of iron or steel 5.7 4 8.1 4.2
    Rubber and articles thereof 1.3 1.6 2.3 3.6
    Optical, photo, technical, medical apparatus 2.1 2.4 4.1 3.5
    Pearls, precious stones, metals, coins 1.3 1.3 5.1 3.2
    Iron and steel 10.6 4.6 5.6 3.2

    Source: Created by casewriter using data from UN Comtrade, accessed December 2017.

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    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    25

    Exhibit 11a Saudi Arabia’s Fiscal Balance Program

    Source: “Saudi Arabia’s 2018 Fiscal Budget,” Jadwa Investment, December 18, 2017, page 13.

    Exhibit 11b Budgeted allocations by sector

    Source: “Saudi Arabia’s 2018 Fiscal Budget,” Jadwa Investment, December 18, 2017, page 4.

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    26

    Exhibit 12 SAMA Total Foreign Reserve Assets

    Source: Saudi Chartbook, Jadwa Investment, November, 2017, page 4.

    Exhibit 13a Unemployment Rates in Saudi Arabia

    Source: “Saudi Labor Market Update – Q2 2017,” Jadwa Investment, November 2017 page 1.

    file:///Users/mohammedalzahrane/Downloads/../../../hsheldahlthomason/Downloads/20171108_Saudi-labor-market-update-Nov-2017

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    27

    Exhibit 13b Unemployment by Gender and Education Level

    Source: “Saudi Labor Market Update – Q2 2017,” Jadwa Investment, November 2017 page 4.

    Exhibit 13c Youth Unemployment

    Source: “Saudi Labor Market Update – Q2 2017,” Jadwa Investment, November 2017 page 2.

    Exhibit 14 Saudi Arabia’s Labor Force Demographics

    Source: House, Karen. “Saudi Arabia in Transition.” Paper, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard

    Kennedy School, July 2017, page 21.

    file:///Users/mohammedalzahrane/Downloads/../../../hsheldahlthomason/Downloads/20171108_Saudi-labor-market-update-Nov-2017

    file:///Users/mohammedalzahrane/Downloads/../../../hsheldahlthomason/Downloads/20171108_Saudi-labor-market-update-Nov-2017

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    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    29

    Appendix A Goals of Vision 2030

    Source: “Saudi Vision 2030,” Jadwa Investment, May 2016, Table 1, page 3.

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030
    30

    Endnotes

    1 HRH Mohammed Al-Faisal, interview with the casewriters, December 3, 2017. This case would not have been possible
    without the assistance of Mohammed Al-Faisal, President & CEO of Al Faisaliah Group Holding, in arranging interviews. We
    are deeply grateful.

    2 Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, quoted in CNBC, “Saudi Arabia promises a return to ‘moderate Islam,’ October 25,
    2017; https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/25/saudi-arabia-promises-a-return-to-moderate-islam.html.

    3 KSA Vision 2030: Strategic Objectives and Vision Realization Programs, June 2016.
    www.vision2030.gov.sa/download/file/fid/1319.

    4 “Saudis to tighten curbs on foreign workers in local jobs push: sources,” Reuters, March 20, 2017.

    5 “Remittance Flows Worldwide in 2015,” Pew Research Center, August 31, 2016.

    6 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    7 Ibid.

    8 Deborah Kopka, Passport Series: Middle East (Lorenz Educational Press, 2011).

    9 “Saudi Arabia: Treat Shia Equally,” Human Rights Watch, September 3, 2009.

    10 “This day in geographic history, March 3 1938: Oil Discovered in Saudi Arabia,” National Geographic.

    11 “A Chronology: The House of Saud,” Frontline, PBS.

    12 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    13 Ibid.

    14 “Brief History,” Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, accessed at
    http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/24.htm.

    15 “Five-year plans,” Country Studies US, Saudi Arabia, accessed at http://countrystudies.us/saudi-arabia/37.htm.

    16 “A Chronology: The House of Saud,” Frontline, PBS.

    17 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    18 “Twenty female candidates win election in Saudi Arabia local balloting,” Los Angeles Times, December 13, 2015.

    19 “Saudi Legal System,” Global Security, accessed at https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/gulf/sa-legal-
    system.htm.

    20 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    21 René Rieger, Saudi Arabian Foreign Relations: Diplomacy and Mediation in Conflict Resolution, (Routledge, 2017).

    22 Christopher Boucek, “Saudi Fatwa Restrictions and the State-Clerical Relationship,“ Carnegie Endowment for International
    Peace, October 27, 2010.

    23 “Fitch: Islamic Banking Is Dominant in Saudi Arabia,” Reuters, February 2, 2016.

    24 Prince Mohammed Al Faisal, interview with the casewriters, December 2, 2017.

    25 “Mohammad Bin Nayef takes leading role in Saudi Arabia,” Gulf News, Saudi Arabia, February 17, 2015.

    26 “Saudi Crown Prince’s Mass Purge Upends a Longstanding System,” The New York Times, November 5, 2017.

    27 “Mohammed bin Salman: the meteoric rise of Saudi Arabia’s new crown prince,” The Financial Times, June 23, 2017.

    28 “Saudi Crown Prince’s Mass Purge Upends a Longstanding System,” The New York Times, November 5, 2017.

    29 Ibid.

    30 “A Palace Coup in Saudi Arabia,” The Economist, November 11, 2017.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/25/saudi-arabia-promises-a-return-to-moderate-islam.html

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    31

    31 Karen Elliot House, “Saudi Arabia in Transition: From Defense to Offense, But How to Score?” Harvard Kennedy School
    Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Senior Fellow Paper, July 2017.

    32 Thoraya Obaid, boardmember of the Center for Structural Development, interview with the authors, December 5, 2017.

    33 “Saudi women are a captive market for Uber and Careem,” The Economist, May 4, 2017.

    34 “Boxed In: Women and Saudi Arabia’s Male Guardianship System,” Human Rights Watch, July 16, 2016.

    35 “Saudi youth anxious to see progress on prince’s reform plan,” The Financial Times, July 27, 2017.

    36 Princess Banderi Al Faisal, interview with the casewriters, December 5, 2017.

    37 Dr. Maha Al Saud, vice president Alfaisal University, interview with the casewriters, December 4, 2017.

    38 Prince Khaled bin Saad Al Saud, interview with the casewriters, December 4, 2017.
    39 Thoraya Obaid, boardmember of the Center for Structural Development, interview with the casewriters, December 5, 2017.

    40 A male student at Alfaisal University, interview with the casewriters, December 4, 2017.

    41 Freedom on the Net 2016: Saudi Arabia Country Profile, Freedom House.

    42 “Saudi Arabia Social Media Statistics 2016,” Global Media Insight, May 25, 2016.

    43 “Young Saudis, Bound by Conservative Strictures, Find Freedom on Their Phones,” The New York Times, May 22, 2015.

    44 “Saudi Arabia Social Media Statistics 2016,” Global Media Insight, May 25, 2016.

    45 “The world’s top five countries with highest natural gas reserves,” Energy Business Review, July 21, 2017.

    46 “Saudi Arabia Facts and Figures,” Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, accessed at
    http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/169.htm.

    47 “Saudi oil output capacity 12.5 million b/d, but investment needed: Falih,” S & P Global Platts, June 2, 2016.

    48 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    49 Ibid and “Saudi Arabia slashes Aramco’s tax rate to woo IPO investors,” The Financial Times, March 27, 2017.

    50
    BP Statistical Review of World Energy, BP, June 2017, page 15 and “Nuclear Power in Saudi Arabia,” Saudi Arabia Country

    Profile, World Nuclear Association, October 2017.

    51 “Saudi Arabia sets out strategy to reform subsidies and reduce domestic energy usage,” Oxford Business Group, accessed at
    https://oxfordbusinessgroup.com/analysis/subsidy-reform-government-sets-out-strategy-reduce-domestic-energy-usage.

    52 “Doing Business in Saudi Arabia: 2017 Country Commercial Guide for US Companies,” US Commercial Service, page 7.

    53 Jane Kinninmont, “Vision 2030 and Saudi Arabia’s Social Contract Austerity and Transformation,” Chatham House
    Research Paper, July 2017.

    54 Majid Moneef, Director of Aramco and former Secretary General of the Supreme Economic Council, interview with the
    casewriters, December 4, 2017.

    55
    “Will Low Oil Prices End Saudi Arabia’s Gas Subsidies?” oilprice.com, September 18, 2017.

    56 “Saudi Arabia: 2017 Article IV Consultation,” International Monetary Fund, October 2017.

    57 “OPEC wants oil above $50, but US shale producers won’t play along,” CNBC, August 1, 2017.

    58 “Saudis Seek Bids for First Utility-Scale Plant for Wind Power,” Bloomberg, July 16, 2017.

    59 “Nuclear Power in Saudi Arabia,” Saudi Arabia Country Profile, World Nuclear Association, October 2017.

    60 “Saudi Aramco IPO Part of Kingdom’s Diversification Plan,” Thomson Reuters Blogs, May 10, 2017.

    61 “Saudi Aramco Gears Unconventional Gas Program,” E&P Magazine, September 4, 2017.

    62 Ibid. and “Country Analysis Brief: Saudi Arabia,” US Energy Information Administration, October 20, 2017.

    file:///Users/mohammedalzahrane/Downloads/../../../hsheldahlthomason/AppData/Local/Microsoft/Windows/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.Outlook/0GB4NYGE/BP%20Statistical%20Review%20of%20World%20Energy,%20BP,%20June%202017,%20page%2015

    https://sa.usembassy.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/60/CCG-2017-Saudi-Arabia %20page%207

    718-034 Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030

    32

    63 “Natural Gas and the Vision 2030,” Jadwa Investment, October 2016.

    64 “Saudi Arabia: The challenged kingdom,” The Economist, May 23, 2015.

    65 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    66 “GCC Members Consider Future of Union,” Al-Monitor, January 14, 2013.

    67 “Syria crisis: Where key countries stand,” BBC News, October 30, 2015.

    68 “Syria’s Paradox: Why the War Only Ever Seems to Get Worse,” The New York Times, August 26, 2016.

    69 “Yemen crisis: Who is fighting whom?” BBC News, December 2, 2017.

    70
    “How the Iranian-Saudi Proxy Struggle Tore Apart the Middle East,” The New York Times, November 19, 2016.

    71 “The mysterious sudden resignation of Lebanon’s prime minister, explained,” Vox, November 13, 2017.

    72 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    73 Ibid.

    74 “US-Saudi Relations,” Council on Foreign Relations Backgrounder, May 12, 2017.

    75 “Saudi Arabia’s Special Power Over Donald Trump,” The New York Times, November 10, 2017.

    76 “A Palace Coup in Riyadh,” The Economist, November 11, 2017.

    77 “For Israel, concern over Iran leads to better ties with Arab states,” The Times of Israel, October 20, 2017.

    78 “The Top 5 Countries Where ISIS Gets Its Foreign Recruits,” Time, April 14, 2017.

    79 “Saudi Arabia cracks down on youths joining Syria jihadis,” The Financial Times, February 4, 2014.

    80 Daniel L. Byman, “The US-Saudi Arabia counterterrorism relationship,” Brookings, May 24, 2016.

    81 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    82 SAMA Functions, Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, accessed at http://www.sama.gov.sa/en-
    US/About/Pages/SAMAFunction.aspx.

    83 “Saudi Arabia: 2017 Article IV Consultation,” International Monetary Fund, October 2017.

    84
    “Saudi Arabia needs $70 oil to break even,” Business Insider, November 1, 2017.

    85 Oxford Business Group, The Report: Saudi Arabia 2008.

    86 Ibid.

    87 Mohamed A. Ramady, The Saudi Arabian Economy: Policies, Achievements, and Challenges (Springer, 2010).

    88 Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White, “Saudi Arabia: Finding Stability After the Arab Spring,” HBS case 714-053.

    89 “Given a Choice, Saudis Prefer Government Jobs,” Gallup News, August 19, 2015.

    90 “The Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017,” The World Economic Forum, 2016.

    91 Nicos Komninos, The Age of Intelligent Cities: Smart Environments and Innovation-for-all Strategies (Routledge 2015).
    92 “Saudi Arabia Builds Cities in the Sand to Move Beyond Oil,” Bloomberg, August 7, 2017.

    93 “Saudis to tighten curbs on foreign workers in local jobs push: sources,” Reuters, March 20, 2017.

    94 Ibid.

    95 “Saudi Arabia: Foreign Investment,” Santander TradePortal, accessed at https://en.portal.santandertrade.com/establish-
    overseas/saudi-arabia/foreign-investment.

    96 UNCTAD FDI statistical database, accessed November 2017.

    Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030 718-034

    33

    97 “World Investment Report 2017: Arabs still lag,” Arab News, June 9, 2017.
    98 “Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: Inward and Outward FDI,” Dhaman, 2016, accessed at http://dhaman.net/wp-
    content/uploads/2016/02/Saudi .

    99 Annual Statistical Report 2016, Tadawul, Saudi Stock Exchange.

    100 Karen Elliot House, “Saudi Arabia in Transition: From Defense to Offense, But How to Score?” Harvard Kennedy School
    Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Senior Fellow Paper, July 2017.

    101 Ibid.

    102 Sulaiman Al Hamdan, Civil Service Minister, interview with the casewriters, December 6, 2017.

    103 Fahad Alturki, chief economist of Jadwa Investment, interview with the casewriters, December 3, 2017.

    104 “Vibrant Society with Strong Roots,” Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, accessed at http://vision2030.gov.sa/en/node/11.

    105 “Softbank-Saudi tech fund becomes world’s biggest with $93 billion of capital,” Reuters, May 20, 2017.

    106 “Saudi Arabia Just Announced Plans to Build a Mega City That Will Cost $500 Billion,” Bloomberg, October 24, 2017.

    107 Karen Elliot House, “Saudi Arabia in Transition: From Defense to Offense, But How to Score?” Harvard Kennedy School
    Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Senior Fellow Paper, July 2017.

    108 Jane Kinninmont, “Vision 2030 and Saudi Arabia’s Social Contract Austerity and Transformation,” Chatham House
    Research Paper, July 2017.

    109 Karen Elliot House, “Saudi Arabia in Transition: From Defense to Offense, But How to Score?” Harvard Kennedy School
    Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Senior Fellow Paper, July 2017.

    110 Ibid.

    111 Ibid.

    112 Sulaiman Al Hamdan, Minister of Civil Service, interview with the casewriters.

    113 Fahad Alturki, chief economist of Jadwa Investment, interview with the casewriters, December 4, 2017.

    114 Bander bin Sultan, quoted in PBS Frontline, “Interview with Prince Bander bin Sultan,” January 2001.

    http://www.arabnews.com/node/1112711

      Saudi Arabia: Vision 2030
      Background
      History of Saudi Arabia
      The Practice of Islam
      Modern History
      Government
      Legal System
      Current Government
      Culture in the Kingdom
      Energy
      Energy diversification
      International Affairs
      Extremism in the Kingdom
      Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy
      Liberalization
      Abdullah’s Strategy
      Vision 2030
      Looking Ahead
      Exhibit 1Map of Saudi Arabia
      Exhibit 2Saudi Arabia Balance of Payments (billions USD)
      Exhibit 3 Saudi Arabia National Income Accounts
      a Figures for 2017 are estimates.
      Exhibit 4Exchange Rate, Unemployment and Productivity in Saudi Arabia
      Exhibit 5Saudi Arabia’s Royal Family Tree (Partial)
      Exhibit 6aSaudi Crude Oil Exports
      Exhibit 6bSaudi Oil Production
      Exhibit 6cAnnual Energy Production, 2008-2016
      Exhibit 7Crude Oil Price, West Texas Intermediate
      Exhibit 8aOPEC Crude Production (million barrels per day)
      Exhibit 8bNon-OPEC Supply Reductions Commitment (thousand barrels per day)
      Exhibit 9 Saudi Arabia’s Top Exports and Imports (billion USD)
      Exhibit 10Saudi Arabia’s Fiscal Budget (billions SR)
      Exhibit 11aSaudi Arabia’s Fiscal Balance Program
      Exhibit 11bBudgeted allocations by sector
      Exhibit 12SAMA Total Foreign Reserve Assets
      Exhibit 13aUnemployment Rates in Saudi Arabia
      Exhibit 13bUnemployment by Gender and Education Level
      Exhibit 13cYouth Unemployment
      Exhibit 14Saudi Arabia’s Labor Force Demographics
      Exhibit 15 Doing Business Indicators, Saudi Arabia
      Exhibit 16 Social Indicator Comparison (most recent)
      Appendix AGoals of Vision 2030
      Endnotes

    MY FIRST OBJECTIVE IS FOR
    OUR COUNTRY TO BE A
    PIONEERING AND SUCCESSFUL
    GLOBAL MODEL OF
    EXCELLENCE, ON ALL FRONTS,
    AND I WILL WORK WITH YOU TO
    ACHIEVE THAT.

    KING SALMAN BIN ABDULAZIZ AL SAUD
    Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques

    All success stories start with a vision, and successful
    visions are based on strong pillars.
    The first pillar of our vision is our status as the heart of
    the Arab and Islamic worlds. We recognize that Allah
    the Almighty has bestowed on our lands a gift more
    precious than oil. Our Kingdom is the Land of the Two
    Holy Mosques, the most sacred sites on earth, and the
    direction of the Kaaba (Qibla) to which more than a
    billion Muslims turn at prayer.
    The second pillar of our vision is our determination to
    become a global investment powerhouse. Our nation
    holds strong investment capabilities, which we will
    harness to stimulate our economy and diversify our
    revenues.
    The third pillar is transforming our unique strategic
    location into a global hub connecting three continents,
    Asia, Europe and Africa. Our geographic position
    between key global waterways, makes the Kingdom of
    Saudi Arabia an epicenter of trade and the gateway to
    the world.
    Our country is rich in its natural resources. We are not
    dependent solely on oil for our energy needs. Gold,
    phosphate, uranium, and many other valuable minerals
    are found beneath our lands. But our real wealth lies in
    the ambition of our people and the potential of our
    younger generation. They are our nation’s pride and the
    architects of our future. We will never forget how, under

    IT IS MY PLEASURE
    TO PRESENT SAUDI
    ARABIA’S VISION
    FOR THE FUTURE.
    IT IS AN AMBITIOUS
    YET ACHIEVABLE
    BLUEPRINT, WHICH
    EXPRESSES OUR
    LONG-TERM GOALS
    AND EXPECTATIONS
    AND REFLECTS OUR
    COUNTRY’S
    STRENGTHS AND
    CAPABILITIES

    FOREWORD

    MOHAMMAD BIN SALMAN BIN
    ABDULAZIZ AL-SAUD
    Chairman of the Council of Economic
    and Development Affairs

    6

    tougher circumstances than today, our nation was
    forged by collective determination when the late King
    Abdulaziz Al-Saud – may Allah bless his soul – united
    the Kingdom. Our people will amaze the world again.
    We are confident about the Kingdom’s future. With all
    the blessings Allah has bestowed on our nation, we
    cannot help but be optimistic about the decades
    ahead. We ponder what lies over the horizon rather
    than worrying about what could be lost.
    The future of the Kingdom, my dear brothers and
    sisters, is one of huge promise and great potential, God
    willing. Our precious country deserves the best.
    Therefore, we will expand and further develop our
    talents and capacity. We will do our utmost to ensure
    that Muslims from around the world can visit the Holy
    Sites.
    We are determined to reinforce and diversify the
    capabilities of our economy, turning our key strengths
    into enabling tools for a fully diversified future. As such,
    we will transform Aramco from an oil producing
    company into a global industrial conglomerate. We will
    transform the Public Investment Fund into the world’s
    largest sovereign wealth fund. We will encourage our
    major corporations to expand across borders and take
    their rightful place in global markets. As we continue to
    give our army the best possible machinery and
    equipment, we plan to manufacture half of our military
    needs within the Kingdom to create more job
    opportunities for citizens and keep more resources in
    our country.
    We will expand the variety of digital services to reduce
    delays and cut tedious bureaucracy. We will immediately
    adopt wide-ranging transparency and accountability
    reforms and, through the body set up to measure the
    performance of government agencies, hold them
    accountable for any shortcomings. We will be
    transparent and open about our failures as well as our
    successes, and will welcome ideas on how to improve.
    All this comes from the directive of the Custodian of the
    Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud,
    may Allah protect him, who ordered us to plan for a
    future that fulfills your ambitions and your aspirations.
    In line with his instructions, we will work tirelessly from
    today to build a better tomorrow for you, your children,
    and your children’s children.
    Our ambition is for the long term. It goes beyond

    replenishing sources of income that have weakened or
    preserving what we have already achieved. We are
    determined to build a thriving country in which all
    citizens can fulfill their dreams, hopes and ambitions.
    Therefore, we will not rest until our nation is a leader in
    providing opportunities for all through education and
    training, and high quality services such as employment
    initiatives, health, housing, and entertainment.
    We commit ourselves to providing world-class
    government services which effectively and efficiently
    meet the needs of our citizens. Together we will
    continue building a better country, fulfilling our dream
    of prosperity and unlocking the talent, potential, and
    dedication of our young men and women. We will not
    allow our country ever to be at the mercy of a
    commodity price volatility or external markets.
    We have all the means to achieve our dreams and
    ambitions. There are no excuses for us to stand still or
    move backwards.
    Our Vision is a strong, thriving, and stable Saudi Arabia
    that provides opportunity for all. Our Vision is a tolerant
    country with Islam as its constitution and moderation
    as its method. We will welcome qualified individuals
    from all over the world and will respect those who have
    come to join our journey and our success.
    We intend to provide better opportunities for
    partnerships with the private sector through the three
    pillars: our position as the heart of the Arab and Islamic
    worlds, our leading investment capabilities, and our
    strategic geographical position. We will improve the
    business environment, so that our economy grows and
    flourishes, driving healthier employment opportunities
    for citizens and long-term prosperity for all. This
    promise is built on cooperation and on mutual
    responsibility.
    This is our “Saudi Arabia’s Vision for

    20

    30

    .” We will begin
    immediately delivering the overarching plans and
    programs we have set out. Together, with the help of
    Allah, we can strengthen the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s
    position as a great nation in which we should all feel an
    immense pride.

    7

    OUR VISION

    8

    SAUDI ARABIA

    THE HEART OF THE
    ARAB AND ISLAMIC
    WORLDS,
    THE INVESTMENT
    POWERHOUSE, AND
    THE HUB
    CONNECTING THREE
    CONTINENTS

    9

    10

    INTRODUCTION

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY

    A Vibrant Society.. with Strong Roots

    A Vibrant Society.. with Fulfilling Lives

    A Vibrant Society.. with Strong Foundations

    A THRIVING ECONOMY

    A Thriving Economy.. Rewarding Opportunities

    A Thriving Economy.. Investing for the Long-term

    A Thriving Economy.. Open for Business

    A Thriving Economy.. Leveraging its Unique Position

    AN AMBITIOUS NATION

    An Ambitious Nation.. Effectively Governed

    An Ambitious Nation.. Responsibly Enabled

    HOW TO ACHIEVE OUR VISION?

    12

    14

    16

    22

    28

    34

    36

    42

    50

    58

    62

    64

    72

    78

    INDEX

    11

    THE KINGDOM OF SAUDI ARABIA IS
    BLESSED WITH MANY RICH ASSETS.
    OUR GEOGRAPHIC, CULTURAL,
    SOCIAL, DEMOGRAPHIC AND
    ECONOMIC ADVANTAGES HAVE
    ENABLED US TO TAKE A LEADING
    POSITION IN THE WORLD

    INTRODUCTION
    12

    To build the best future for our country, we have based
    our Vision for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia on three
    pillars that represent our unique competitive
    advantages. Our status will enable us to build on our
    leading role as the heart of Arab and Islamic worlds. At
    the same time, we will use our investment power to
    create a more diverse and sustainable economy. Finally,
    we will use our strategic location to build our role as an
    integral driver of international trade and to connect
    three continents: Africa, Asia and Europe.
    Our Vision is built around three themes: a vibrant
    society, a thriving economy and an ambitious nation.
    This first theme is vital to achieving the Vision and a strong
    foundation for economic prosperity. We believe in the
    importance of a vibrant society. Members of this society
    live in accordance with the Islamic principle of
    moderation, are proud of their national identity and
    their ancient cultural heritage, enjoy a good life in a
    beautiful environment, are protected by caring families
    and are supported by an empowering social and health
    care system.
    In the second theme, a thriving economy provides
    opportunities for all by building an education system
    aligned with market needs and creating economic
    opportunities for the entrepreneur, the small enterprise
    as well as the large corporation. Therefore, we will
    develop our investment tools to unlock our promising
    economic sectors, diversify our economy and create job
    opportunities. We will also grow our economy and

    improve the quality of our services, by privatizing some
    government services, improving the business
    environment, attracting the finest talent and the best
    investments globally, and leveraging our unique
    strategic location in connecting three continents.
    Our nation is ambitious in what we want to achieve. We
    will apply efficiency and responsibility at all levels. Our
    third theme is built on an effective, transparent,
    accountable, enabling and high-performing
    government. We will also prepare the right environment
    for our citizens, private sector and non-profit sector to
    take their responsibilities and take the initiative in
    facing challenges and seizing opportunities.
    In each of these themes, we highlighted a selection of
    commitments and goals, as a reflection of our ambition
    and a representation of what we aim to achieve. This
    Vision will be the point of reference for our future
    decisions, so that all future projects are aligned to its
    content.
    To clarify our next steps, we have already prepared the
    ground and launched some executive programs at the
    Council of Economic and Development Affairs. We will
    now launch a first portfolio of crucial programs with the
    aim to achieve our goals and honor our commitments.

    13

    A VIBRANT
    SOCIETY

    1
    14

    15

    LIVING
    BY ISLAMIC
    VALUES

    Islam and its teachings are our way of life. They are the
    basis of all our laws, decisions, actions and goals.
    Following Islam’s guidance on the values of hard-work,
    dedication, and excellence, Prophet Mohammed, Peace
    Be Upon Him, said: “That Allah loves us to master our
    work”.
    Therefore, the principles of Islam will be the driving
    force for us to realize our Vision. The values of
    moderation, tolerance, excellence, discipline, equity,
    and transparency will be the bedrock of our success.

    WE HAVE ENORMOUS UNTAPPED
    OPPORTUNITIES AND A RICH BLEND
    OF NATURAL RESOURCES, BUT OUR
    REAL WEALTH LIES IN OUR PEOPLE
    AND OUR SOCIETY. WE TAKE PRIDE IN
    WHAT MAKES OUR NATION
    EXCEPTIONAL: OUR ISLAMIC FAITH
    AND OUR NATIONAL UNITY. OUR
    NATION IS THE CORE OF THE ARAB
    AND ISLAMIC WORLDS AND

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH STRONG ROOTS

    FOCUSING OUR EFFORTS
    TO SERVE UMRAH
    VISITORS

    Saudi Arabia has assumed a prominent place in the world
    and has become synonymous with hospitality and a warm
    welcome to all Muslims. As such, it has carved a special
    place in the hearts of pilgrims and the faithful everywhere.
    We have been given the privilege to serve the Two Holy
    Mosques, the pilgrims and all visitors to the blessed holy
    sites. In the last decade, the number of Umrah visitors
    entering the country from abroad has tripled, reaching 8
    million people. This is a noble responsibility. It requires us to
    spare no effort in seeking to offer pilgrims with all they
    need so we fulfil our duty to provide good hospitality to our
    brothers and sisters.
    In this context, we have recently begun a third expansion to
    the Two Holy Mosques, as well as modernizing and
    increasing the capacities of our airports. We have launched
    the Makkah Metro project to complement the railroad and
    train projects that will serve visitors to the Holy Mosques

    16

    REPRESENTS THE HEART OF ISLAM.
    WE ARE CONFIDENT THAT, GOD
    WILLING, WE WILL BUILD A BRIGHTER
    FUTURE, ONE BASED ON THE
    BEDROCK OF ISLAMIC PRINCIPLES.
    WE WILL CONTINUE TO EXCEL IN
    PERFORMING OUR DUTIES TOWARDS
    PILGRIMS TO THE FULLEST AND
    PROMOTE OUR DEEP-ROOTED
    NATIONAL IDENTITY

    and holy sites. We have reinforced the network of our
    transport system to facilitate access and help pilgrims
    perform their visits with greater ease and convenience.
    At the same time, we will enrich pilgrims’ spiritual journeys
    and cultural experiences while in the Kingdom. We will
    establish more museums, prepare new tourist and historical
    sites and cultural venues, and improve the pilgrimage
    experience within the Kingdom.

    TAKING PRIDE
    IN OUR NATIONAL
    IDENTITY

    We take immense pride in the historical and cultural legacy
    of our Saudi, Arab, and Islamic heritage. Our land was, and
    continues to be, known for its ancient civilizations and trade
    routes at the crossroads of global trade. This heritage has
    given our society the cultural richness and diversity it is
    known for today. We recognize the importance of preserving
    this sophisticated heritage in order to promote national
    unity and consolidate true Islamic and Arab values.
    We will endeavor to strengthen, preserve and highlight our national
    identity so that it can guide the lives of future generations. We will
    do so by keeping true to our national values and principles, as well
    as by encouraging social development and upholding the Arabic
    language. We will continue to work on the restoration of national,
    Arab, Islamic and ancient cultural sites and strive to have them
    registered internationally to make them accessible to everyone and,
    in the process, create cultural events and build world-class
    museums which will attract visitors from near and far. This will
    create a living witness to our ancient heritage, showcasing our
    prominent place in history and on the map of civilizations.

    17

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH STRONG ROOTS

    18

    Rise in the number of pilgrims from
    8 million to 30 million pilgrims

    Increase number of registered
    archaeological sites in UNESCO
    from 4 to 8 the least

    To more than double the number of Saudi
    heritage sites registered with UNESCO

    To increase our capacity to welcome Umrah
    visitors from 8 million to 30 million every year

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY

    2030

    19

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    20

    THE HONOR TO SERVE THE
    INCREASING NUMBER OF
    UMRAH VISITORS IN THE
    BEST WAY POSSIBLE

    We are honored to attend to pilgrims and Umrah
    visitors’ needs, fulfilling a role bestowed on us by Allah.
    Our expansion of the Two Holy Mosques has led to a
    tripling in the number of foreign Umrah visitors over
    the last decade, reaching eight million in 2015.
    By increasing the capacity and by improving the quality
    of the services offered to Umrah visitors, we will, by
    2020, make it possible for over 15 million Muslims per
    year to perform Umrah and be completely satisfied
    with their pilgrimage experience.
    We will achieve this by improving visa application
    procedures which will smooth the visa process with the
    aim of full automation. We will also further integrate
    e-services into the pilgrims’ journey, which will enrich
    the religious and cultural experience.
    Both the public and private sectors will play a crucial
    role in this project as we work to upgrade
    accommodation, improve hospitality and launch new
    services for pilgrims.

    THE LARGEST ISLAMIC
    MUSEUM

    We have always taken – and will continue to take –
    great pride in our heritage. Mohammad, the Last of
    Prophets, Peace Be Upon Him, was from Makkah,
    the birthplace of Islam. Medina is where the first
    Islamic society was born.
    We will build an Islamic museum in accordance with
    the highest global standards, equipped with the
    latest methods in collection, preservation,
    presentation and documentation. It will be a major
    landmark for our citizens and visitors, where they
    will learn about the history of Islam, enjoy interactive
    experiences and participate in cultural events.
    Using modern technology, visitors to the museum
    will take an immersive journey through the different
    ages of Islamic civilization, as well as its science,
    scholars and culture.
    It will also be an international hub for erudition and
    include a world-class library and research center.

    21

    PROMOTING
    CULTURE AND
    ENTERTAINMENT

    We consider culture and entertainment indispensable
    to our quality of life. We are well aware that the cultural
    and entertainment opportunities currently available do
    not reflect the rising aspirations of our citizens and
    residents, nor are they in harmony with our prosperous
    economy. It is why we will support the efforts of
    regions, governorates, non-profit and private sectors to
    organize cultural events. We intend to enhance the role
    of government funds, while also attracting local and
    international investors, creating partnerships with
    international entertainment corporations. Land suitable
    for cultural and entertainment projects will be provided
    and talented writers, authors and directors will be
    carefully supported. We will seek to offer a variety of
    cultural venues – such as libraries, arts and museums –
    as well as entertainment possibilities to suit tastes and
    preferences. These projects will also contribute to our
    economy and will result in the creation of many job
    opportunities.

    THE HAPPINESS AND FULFILLMENT
    OF CITIZENS AND RESIDENTS IS
    IMPORTANT TO US. THIS CAN ONLY
    BE ACHIEVED THROUGH PROMOTING
    PHYSICAL, PSYCHOLOGICAL AND
    SOCIAL WELL-BEING. AT THE HEART

    LIVING HEALTHY,
    BEING
    HEALTHY

    A healthy and balanced lifestyle is an essential mainstay
    of a high quality of life. Yet opportunities for the regular
    practice of sports have often been limited. This will
    change. We intend to encourage widespread and
    regular participation in sports and athletic activities,
    working in partnership with the private sector to
    establish additional dedicated facilities and programs.
    This will enable citizens and residents to engage in a
    wide variety of sports and leisure pursuits. We aspire to
    excel in sport and be among the leaders in selected
    sports regionally and globally.

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH FULFILLING LIVES

    22

    DEVELOPING
    OUR
    CITIES

    Our cities already enjoy high levels of security and
    development. Despite the current turmoil in the region
    and the wide expanse of our territories, our country
    and citizens are safe and secure. Our cities are among
    the safest in the world with annual crime rates that are
    less than 0.8 per 100,000 people, far below the
    international rate of 7.6. We will maintain our safety and
    security by supporting ongoing efforts to fight drugs
    abuse, as well as by adopting further measures to
    ensure traffic safety, reduce traffic accidents and
    minimize their tragic consequences.
    Our cities have grown significantly in recent decades; a
    growth which has been accompanied by the steady
    development of their infrastructure. To ensure we can
    continue to enhance the quality of life for all and meet
    the needs and requirements of our citizens, we will
    continue to ensure high quality services such as water,
    electricity, public transport and roads are properly
    provided. Open and landscaped areas will also be
    developed further, to meet the recreational needs of
    individuals and families.

    ACHIEVING
    ENVIRONMENTAL
    SUSTAINABILITY

    By preserving our environment and natural resources,
    we fulfill our Islamic, human and moral duties.
    Preservation is also our responsibility to future
    generations and essential to the quality of our daily
    lives. We will seek to safeguard our environment by
    increasing the efficiency of waste management,
    establishing comprehensive recycling projects, reducing
    all types of pollution and fighting desertification. We
    will also promote the optimal use of our water resources
    by reducing consumption and utilizing treated and
    renewable water. We will direct our efforts towards
    protecting and rehabilitating our beautiful beaches,
    natural reserves and islands, making them open to
    everyone. We will seek the participation of the private
    sector and government funds in these efforts.

    OF OUR VISION IS A SOCIETY IN
    WHICH ALL ENJOY A GOOD QUALITY
    OF LIFE, A HEALTHY LIFESTYLE AND
    AN ATTRACTIVE LIVING
    ENVIRONMENT

    23

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH FULFILLING LIVES

    24

    Naming three Saudi cities
    Among the top 100 cities
    In terms of quality of life*

    Polarization of household spending on
    culture And entertainment into the
    kingdom to rise from % 2.9 to 6%

    Increase percentage of sports
    practitioners At least weekly from
    13% to

    40

    %

    Naming three Saudi cities
    Among the top 100 cities
    In terms of quality of life*

    To increase the ratio of individuals exercising at least
    once a week from 13% of population to 40%

    To increase household spending on cultural and entertainment activities
    inside the Kingdom from the current level of 2.9% to 6%

    To have three Saudi cities be recognized in the top-ranked
    100 cities in the world

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    25

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    26

    By 2020, there will be more than

    45

    0 registered
    and professionally organized amateur clubs
    providing a variety of cultural activities and
    enter tainment events.

    “DAEM”
    MEANINGFUL
    ENTERTAINMENT FOR
    CITIZENS

    We will increase the number and variety of
    cultural and enter tainment activities with the
    aim of opening dedicated venues to showcase
    our citizens’ myriad talents. We will also review
    our regulations to simplify the establishment and
    registration of amateur, social and cultural clubs.
    We will launch and provide the necessar y
    financial suppor t for “Daem”, a national program
    to enhance the quality of cultural activities and
    enter tainment. The program will create a national
    network of clubs, encourage the exchange of
    knowledge and international experiences and
    promote better awareness of a wide range of
    hobbies and leisure activities.

    27

    CARING FOR
    OUR FAMILIES

    Families are the key building block of a society,
    protecting it from social breakdown across generations,
    and acting as both its children’s sanctuary and the main
    provider of their needs. One of the defining
    characteristics of the Kingdom is its adherence to
    Islamic principles and values, together with the unity
    and extended family relations. Building on these key
    characteristics, we will provide our families with all the
    necessary support to take care of their children and
    develop their talents and abilities. In particular, we
    want to deepen the participation of parents in the
    education process, to help them develop their children’s
    characters and talents so that they can contribute fully
    to society. Families will also be encouraged to adopt a
    planning culture, to plan carefully for their future and
    the futures of their children.
    We recognize each family’s aspiration to own a home
    and the important role ownership plays in strengthening
    family security. Even though

    47

    percent of Saudi
    families already own their homes, we aim to increase
    this rate by five percentage points by 2020. This would
    be a substantial achievement given the high increase in
    the number of new entrants to the housing market. We
    will meet this target by introducing a number of laws
    and regulations; encouraging the private sector to
    build houses; and providing funding, mortgage
    solutions and ownership schemes that meet the needs
    of our citizens.

    OUR GOAL IS TO PROMOTE AND
    REINVIGORATE SOCIAL
    DEVELOPMENT IN ORDER TO BUILD A
    STRONG AND PRODUCTIVE SOCIETY.
    WE WILL STRENGTHEN OUR FAMILIES,

    DEVELOPING OUR
    CHILDREN’S CHARACTER

    We intend to embed positive moral beliefs in our
    children’s characters from an early age by reshaping
    our academic and educational system. Schools,
    working with families, will reinforce the fabric of
    society by providing students with the compassion,
    knowledge, and behaviors necessary for resilient and
    independent characters to emerge. The focus will be
    on the fundamental values of initiative, persistence
    and leadership, as well as social skills, cultural
    knowledge and self-awareness. We will also promote
    cultural, social, volunteering and athletic activities
    through empowering our educational, cultural and
    entertainment institutions.

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH STRONG FOUNDATIONS

    28

    EMPOWERING
    OUR SOCIETY

    We will continue modernizing our social welfare system
    to make it more efficient, empowering and just.
    Subsidies for fuel, food, water and electricity will be
    better utilized by redirecting them towards those in
    need. We will provide our most vulnerable citizens with
    tailored care and support. Together with the private
    sector and non-governmental organizations, we will
    offer preparation and training to those unable to find
    employment so they can smoothly join the workforce
    whenever possible.

    CARING FOR
    OUR HEALTH

    Our health care system has benefited from substantive
    investment in recent decades. As a result, we now
    have 2.2 hospital beds for every 1,000 people, world-
    class medical specialists with average life expectancy
    rising from

    66

    years to

    74

    years in the past three
    decades. We are determined to optimize and better
    utilize the capacity of our hospitals and health care
    centers, and enhance the quality of our preventive
    and therapeutic health care services.
    The public sector will focus on promoting preventive
    care, on reducing infectious diseases and in
    encouraging citizens to make use of primary care as
    a first step. It will deepen collaboration and
    integration between health and social care, as well as
    supporting families to provide home care when
    necessary for their relatives. The public sector will
    focus on its planning, regulatory and supervisory
    roles in health care. We intend to provide our health
    care through public corporations both to enhance its
    quality and to prepare for the benefits of privatization
    in the longer term. We will work towards developing
    private medical insurance to improve access to
    medical services and reduce waiting times for
    appointments with specialists and consultants. Our
    doctors will be given better training to improve
    treatment for chronic diseases such as heart disease,
    diabetes and cancer that threaten our nation’s health.

    PROVIDE THE EDUCATION THAT
    BUILDS OUR CHILDREN’S
    FUNDAMENTAL CHARACTERS AND
    ESTABLISH EMPOWERING HEALTH
    AND SOCIAL CARE SYSTEMS

    29

    A VIBRANT SOCIETY..
    WITH STRONG FOUNDATIONS
    30

    Raise Social capital index from
    position 26 to position

    10

    Increase the average of life
    expectancy from 74 to

    80

    years

    To increase the average life expectancy from 74 years to 80 years

    To raise our position from 26 to 10 in the Social Capital index

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    31

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    32

    “IRTIQAA”
    A MORE PROMINENT ROLE
    FOR FAMILIES IN THE
    EDUCATION OF THEIR
    CHILDREN

    The engagement of parents in their children’s
    education is one of the main principles of success.
    Our goal by 2020 is for 80 percent of parents to be
    engaged in school activities and the learning
    process of their children.
    We will launch the “Irtiqaa” program, which will measure
    how effectively schools are engaging parents in their
    children’s education. We will establish parent-led boards
    in schools, to open discussion forums and further
    engage with parents. Teachers will receive training to
    raise their awareness of the importance of
    communicating with parents and equip them with
    effective methods to do so successfully. We will also
    collaborate with private and non-profit sectors to offer
    innovative educational programs and events that can
    improve this academic partnership.

    CORPORATIZATION:
    EFFICIENT AND HIGH
    QUALITY HEALTH CARE

    Our goal is to enhance the standard and quality of
    health care services. Our aim is a health care sector that
    promotes competition and transparency among
    providers. This will enhance the capability, efficiency
    and productivity of care and treatment and increase
    the options available to our citizens.
    To achieve this goal, we will introduce corporatization
    into the sector by transferring the responsibility for
    health care provision to a network of public companies
    that compete both against each other and against the
    private sector. This will provide our citizens with the
    highest quality of health care while, at the same time,
    allowing the government to focus on its legislative,
    regulatory and supervisory roles. Corporatization shall
    also promote and prioritize specialization in health care
    services and enable citizens to choose their preferred
    service provider.

    33

    A THRIVING
    ECONOMY

    2
    34

    35

    LEARNING
    FOR
    WORKING

    We will continue investing in education and training so
    that our young men and women are equipped for the
    jobs of the future. We want Saudi children, wherever
    they live, to enjoy higher quality, multi-faceted
    education. We will invest particularly in developing
    early childhood education, refining our national
    curriculum and training our teachers and educational
    leaders.
    We will also redouble efforts to ensure that the
    outcomes of our education system are in line with
    market needs. We have launched the National Labor
    Gateway (TAQAT), and we plan to establish sector
    councils that will precisely determine the skills and
    knowledge required by each socio-economic sector. We
    will also expand vocational training in order to drive
    forward economic development. Our scholarship
    opportunities will be steered towards prestigious
    international universities and be awarded in the fields
    that serve our national priorities. We will also focus on
    innovation in advanced technologies and
    entrepreneurship.

    THE SKILLS AND COMPETENCIES OF OUR
    CHILDREN ARE ONE OF THE MOST
    IMPORTANT AND CHERISHED ASSETS. TO
    MAKE THE MOST OF THEIR POTENTIAL,
    WE WILL BUILD A CULTURE THAT
    REWARDS DETERMINATION, PROVIDES
    OPPORTUNITIES FOR ALL AND HELPS
    EVERYONE ACQUIRE THE NECESSARY

    BOOSTING OUR SMALL
    BUSINESSES AND
    PRODUCTIVE FAMILIES

    Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are among
    the most important agents of economic growth; they
    create jobs, support innovation and boost exports.
    SMEs in the Kingdom are not yet major contributors to
    our GDP, especially when compared to advanced
    economies. Therefore, we will strive to create suitable
    job opportunities for our citizens by supporting SME
    entrepreneurship, privatization and investments in new
    industries. To help us achieve this goal, we have
    established the SME Authority and we will continue
    encouraging our young entrepreneurs with business-
    friendly regulations, easier access to funding,
    international partnerships and a greater share of
    national procurement and government bids.
    Our productive families now enjoy vast marketing
    opportunities through social media and digital
    platforms. We will facilitate access to these channels,
    enable microfinance and motivate the non-profit sector
    to build the capabilities of our productive families and
    fund their initiatives.

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    REWARDING OPPORTUNITIES

    36

    PROVIDING
    EQUAL
    OPPORTUNITIES

    Our economy will provide opportunities for everyone – men and
    women, young and old – so they may contribute to the best of
    their abilities. We will place a renewed emphasis on lifelong
    training and we will seek to make the most of the potential of our
    workforce by encouraging a culture of high performance. These
    efforts will be coordinated by the recently established Job
    Creation and Anti-Unemployment Commission.
    One of our most significant assets is our lively and vibrant youth. We will
    guarantee their skills are developed and properly deployed. While many
    other countries are concerned with aging populations, more than half of
    the Saudi population is below the age of 25 years. We will take advantage
    of this demographic dividend by harnessing our youth’s energy and by
    expanding entrepreneurship and enterprise opportunities.
    Saudi women are yet another great asset. With over 50
    percent of our university graduates being female, we will
    continue to develop their talents, invest in their productive
    capabilities and enable them to strengthen their future and
    contribute to the development of our society and economy.
    We will also enable those of our people with disabilities to
    receive the education and job opportunities that will ensure
    their independence and integration as effective members of
    society. They will be provided with all the facilities and tools
    required to put them on the path to commercial success.

    ATTRACTING THE
    TALENTS
    WE NEED

    Achieving our desired rate of economic growth will
    require an environment that attracts the necessary
    skills and capabilities both from within the Kingdom
    and beyond our national borders. We will seek to
    improve living and working conditions for non-Saudis,
    by extending their ability to own real estate in certain
    areas, improving the quality of life, permitting the
    establishment of more private schools and adopting an
    effective and simple system for issuing visas and
    residence permits.
    Our goal is to attract and retain the finest Saudi and
    foreign minds, and provide them with all they need.
    Their presence in the Kingdom will contribute to
    economic development and attract additional
    foreign investment.

    SKILLS TO ACHIEVE THEIR PERSONAL
    GOALS. TO THIS END, WE WILL
    REINFORCE THE ABILITY OF OUR
    ECONOMY TO GENERATE DIVERSE JOB
    OPPORTUNITIES AND INSTITUTE A NEW
    PARADIGM IN ATTRACTING GLOBAL
    TALENTS AND QUALIFICATIONS.

    37

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    REWARDING OPPORTUNITIES

    38

    Reducing the
    unemployment rate from
    12% to the World rating
    7%

    High input of Small and
    medium facilities from
    20% to 35% of GDP

    Raise the percentage of
    the Saudi women
    employment rate from
    12% to 40%

    To increase SME contribution to GDP from 20% to 35%

    To increase women’s participation in the workforce from 22% to 30%

    To lower the rate of unemployment from 11.6% to 7%

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    39

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    AN EDUCATION THAT
    CONTRIBUTES TO
    ECONOMIC GROWTH

    We will close the gap between the outputs of higher
    education and the requirements of the job market. We
    will also help our students make careful career
    decisions, while at the same time training them and
    facilitating their transition between different
    educational pathways. In the year 2030, we aim to
    have at least five Saudi universities among the top 200
    universities in international rankings. We shall help our
    students achieve results above international averages
    in global education indicators.

    To this end, we will prepare a modern curriculum
    focused on rigorous standards in literacy, numeracy,
    skills and character development. We will track
    progress and publish a sophisticated range of
    education outcomes, showing year-on-year
    improvements. We will work closely with the private
    sector to ensure higher education outcomes are in line
    with the requirements of job market. We will invest in
    strategic partnerships with apprenticeship providers,
    new skills councils from industry, and large private
    companies. We will also work towards developing the
    job specifications of every education field. Furthermore,

    40

    A BIGGER ROLE FOR SMALL
    AND MEDIUM-SIZED
    ENTERPRISES

    Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) contribute
    only 20 percent of our GDP whereas, in advanced
    economies, this contribution can reach up to

    70

    percent.
    Despite the efforts made to improve the business
    environment in the Kingdom, SMEs can still endure
    unnecessarily slow and complex legal and administrative
    procedures. They also struggle to attract the necessary
    skills, capabilities and funding with financial institutions
    providing no more than 5 percent of the overall funding
    – a far lower percentage than the global average. We will
    strive to facilitate enhanced access to funding and to
    encourage our financial institutions to allocate up to 20
    percent of overall funding to SMEs by 2030.
    The recently established SME Authority plans to review
    laws and regulations thoroughly, remove obstacles,
    facilitate access to funding, and enable youth and
    entrepreneurs to market their ideas and products. At the
    same time, we will establish additional new business
    incubators, specialized training institutions and venture
    capital funds. These will aid entrepreneurs in developing
    their skills and networks. We will also support SMEs in
    marketing and help export their products and services,
    by leveraging e-commerce and collaborating with
    international stakeholders.

    we will build a centralized student database tracking
    students from early childhood through to K-12 and
    beyond into tertiary education (higher and vocational)
    in order to improve education planning, monitoring,
    evaluation, and outcomes.

    41

    DIVERSIFYING OUR ECONOMY IS VITAL
    FOR ITS SUSTAINABILITY. ALTHOUGH OIL
    AND GAS ARE ESSENTIAL PILLARS OF
    OUR ECONOMY, WE HAVE BEGUN
    EXPANDING OUR INVESTMENTS INTO
    ADDITIONAL SECTORS,
    WE UNDERSTAND THAT THERE ARE
    COMPLICATED CHALLENGES AHEAD BUT
    WE HAVE LONG-TERM PLANS TO
    OVERCOME THEM. IN THE PAST 25 YEARS,
    THE SAUDI ECONOMY HAS GROWN BY
    AN ANNUAL AVERAGE RATE OF MORE
    THAN 4 PERCENT, CONTRIBUTING TO
    THE CREATION OF MILLIONS OF NEW

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    INVESTING FOR THE LONG-TERM

    MAXIMIZING
    OUR INVESTMENT
    CAPABILITIES

    The ongoing privatization of state-owned assets, including
    leading companies, property and other assets, will bring in
    new and more diverse revenues for the Saudi government.
    This will further enhance our financial resources and
    economic stability, which will be reinvested for long-term
    impact.
    We will develop further the sophistication of our investment
    vehicles, particularly after transferring the ownership of
    Aramco to the Public Investment Fund, which will become

    the largest sovereign wealth fund in the world. We will
    increase the efficiency of the fund’s management and
    improve its return on investment, with the aim of diversifying
    our government resources and our economy.
    The Public Investment Fund will not compete with the
    private sector, but instead help unlock strategic sectors
    requiring intensive capital inputs. This will contribute towards
    developing entirely new economic sectors and establishing
    durable national corporations.

    42

    JOBS, ALTHOUGH WE ARE ALREADY
    AMONG THE 20 LARGEST ECONOMIES IN
    THE WORLD, OUR AMBITIONS ARE EVEN
    GREATER. WE ASPIRE TO HAVE AN EVEN
    HIGHER RANKING BY 2030, DESPITE THE
    HEADWINDS OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC
    SLOWDOWN AND THE EXPECTED IMPACT
    OF OUR STRUCTURAL ECONOMIC
    REFORMS. THIS REQUIRES US TO INVEST
    IN ALL OUR RESOURCES IN ORDER TO
    DIVERSIFY THE ECONOMY, UNLEASH THE
    CAPABILITIES OF OUR PROMISING
    ECONOMIC SECTORS AND PRIVATIZE
    SOME GOVERNMENT SERVICES

    Building on the Kingdom’s leading position and historic
    alliances, we plan to enter long-term partnerships with
    neighboring and friendly countries for knowledge transfer
    and trade.
    Our Vision is to maximize our investment capabilities by
    participating in large international companies and emerging
    technologies from around the world. This will ensure that we
    become market makers in selected sectors, as well as a leader
    in competitively managing assets, funding and investment.

    All of this will require the formation of an advanced financial
    and capital market open to the world, allowing greater
    funding opportunities and stimulating economic growth. To
    this end, we will continue facilitating access to investing and
    trading in the stock markets. We will smooth the process of
    listing private Saudi companies and state-owned enterprises,
    including Aramco. This will require deepening liquidity in our
    capital markets, fortifying the role of the debt market and
    paving the way for the derivatives market.

    43

    LAUNCHING
    OUR PROMISING
    SECTORS

    We will support promising sectors and foster their success
    so that they become new pillars of our economy. In the
    manufacturing sector, we will work towards localizing
    renewable energy and industrial equipment sectors. In the
    tourism and leisure sectors, we will create attractions that
    are of the highest international standards, improve visa
    issuance procedures for visitors, and prepare and develop
    our historical and heritage sites. In technology, we will
    increase our investments in, and lead, the digital economy.

    In mining, we will furnish incentives for and benefit from
    the exploration of the Kingdom’s mineral resources.
    At the same time as diversifying our economy, we will
    continue to localize the oil and gas sector. As well as
    creating a new city dedicated to energy, we will double our
    gas production, and construct a national gas distribution
    network. We will also make use of our global leadership
    and expertise in oil and petrochemicals to invest in the
    development of adjacent and supporting sectors.

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    INVESTING FOR THE LONG-TERM

    44

    PRIVATIZING
    OUR GOVERNMENT
    SERVICES

    Although we believe strongly in the important role of the private
    sector, it currently contributes less than 40 percent of GDP. To
    increase its long-term contribution to our economy, we will open
    up new investment opportunities, facilitate investment, encourage
    innovation and competition and remove all obstacles preventing
    the private sector from playing a larger role in development.
    We will continue to improve and reform our regulations, paving
    the way for investors and the private sector to acquire and deliver

    services – such as health care and education – that are currently
    provided by the public sector. We will seek to shift the
    government’s role from providing services to one that focuses on
    regulating and monitoring them and we will build the capability
    to monitor this transition.
    We will seek to increase private sector contribution by encouraging
    investments, both local and international, in healthcare, municipal
    services, housing, finance, energy and so forth.

    45

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    INVESTING FOR THE LONG-TERM

    46

    15

    Increase the value of
    assets run by the
    Public investment
    fund to More than 7
    trillion Saudi Riyal

    To increase the localization of oil and gas sectors from 40% to

    75

    %

    To increase the Public Investment Fund’s assets,
    from SAR

    60

    0 billion to over 7 trillion

    To move from our current position as the 19th largest
    economy in the world into the top 15

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030
    47

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    LOCALIZED
    DEFENSE INDUSTRIES

    The benefits of localizing our own defense industries are not
    limited to solely reducing military spending. It also stimulates
    other industrial sectors such as industrial equipment,
    communications and information technology, which in turn
    creates more job opportunities.
    Although the Kingdom is the world’s third biggest military
    spender, only 2 percent of this spending is within our Kingdom.
    The national defense industrial sector is limited to only seven
    companies and two research centers.
    Our aim is to localize over 50 percent of military equipment
    spending by 2030. We have already begun developing less
    complex industries such as those providing spare parts, armored
    vehicles and basic ammunition. We will expand this initiative to
    higher value and more complex equipment such as military
    aircraft. We will build an integrated national network of services
    and supporting industries that will improve our self-sufficiency
    and strengthen our defense exports, both regionally and
    internationally.
    Localization will be achieved through direct investments and
    strategic partnerships with leading companies in this sector. These
    moves will transfer knowledge and technology, and build national
    expertise in the fields of manufacturing, maintenance, repair,
    research and development. We will also train our employees and
    establish more specialized and integrated industrial complexes.

    48

    A MINING SECTOR
    CONTRIBUTING TO THE
    NATIONAL ECONOMY AT
    FULL POTENTIAL

    We have been blessed with rich mineral resources such
    as aluminum, phosphate, gold, copper, uranium and
    other raw materials. Although the mining sector has
    already undergone improvements to cater to the needs
    of our industries, its contribution to GDP has yet to meet
    expectations. As such, we are determined to ensure it
    reaches SAR 97 billion by 2020, creating 90,000 job
    opportunities in the process.
    We are planning a number of structural reforms, which
    include stimulating private sector investments by
    intensifying exploration, building a comprehensive
    database of the Kingdom’s resources, reviewing the
    licensing procedures for extraction, investing in
    infrastructure, developing funding methods and
    establishing centers of excellence.
    We will also form strategic international partnerships and
    raise the competitiveness and productivity of our
    national companies. This will boost their contribution to
    the sector’s growth, as well as to the localization of
    knowledge and expertise.

    A RENEWABLE
    ENERGY MARKET

    Even though we have an impressive natural potential for
    solar and wind power, and our local energy consumption
    will increase three fold by 2030, we still lack a competitive
    renewable energy sector at present. To build up the
    sector, we have set ourselves an initial target of
    generating 9.5 gigawatts of renewable energy. We will
    also seek to localize a significant portion of the renewable
    energy value chain in the Saudi economy, including
    research and development, and manufacturing, among
    other stages.
    From inputs such as silica and petrochemicals, to the
    extensive expertise of our leading Saudi companies in
    the production of different forms of energy, we have all
    the raw ingredients for success. We will put this into
    practice with the forthcoming launch of the King Salman
    Renewable Energy Initiative. We will review the legal and
    regulatory framework that allows the private sector to
    buy and invest in the renewable energy sector. To localize
    the industry and produce the necessary skill-sets, we will
    also encourage public-private partnerships. Finally, we
    will guarantee the competitiveness of renewable energy
    through the gradual liberalization of the fuels market.

    49

    OPENING SAUDI ARABIA FURTHER
    FOR BUSINESS WILL BOOST
    PRODUCTIVITY AND SMOOTH OUR
    JOURNEY TO BECOME ONE OF THE
    LARGEST ECONOMIES IN THE
    WORLD. WE WILL IMPROVE OUR

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    OPEN FOR BUSINESS

    IMPROVING
    THE BUSINESS
    ENVIRONMENT

    We will further pursue public-private partnerships, continue
    to facilitate the flow of private investment and improve our
    competitiveness. We will develop the necessary capabilities
    to increase the quality and reliability of our services. We will
    coordinate with legislative authorities to review current
    regulations with the aim of improving the business
    environment and enforcing contracts.
    Where it exists in strategic locations, we will also capitalize on
    the government’s reserves of real estate. We will allocate
    prime areas within cities for educational institutions, retail
    and entertainment centers, large areas along our coasts will
    be dedicated to tourist projects and appropriate lands will be
    allocated for industrial projects.
    We will enable banks and other financial institutions to adapt
    their financial products and services to the needs of each
    sector, ranging from large project capital funding to short-
    term working capital for small businesses. We will also
    facilitate and expedite licensing procedures based on our
    national economic priorities. We will apply international legal
    and commercial regulations strictly and create a business
    environment conducive to long-term investment.
    We will strive to facilitate the movement of people and
    goods, and to simplify customs procedures at our ports.
    As a result, we will create an environment attractive to both
    local and foreign investors, and earn their confidence in the
    resilience and potential of our national economy.

    REHABILITATING
    ECONOMIC
    CITIES

    We are aware that the economic cities of the last
    decade did not realize their potential. Work has halted
    in several cities, and others face challenges that
    threaten their viability.
    We have worked in cooperation with Aramco to
    restructure Jizan Economic City. We will strive to salvage
    other economic cities, especially those with comparative
    advantages. To achieve this, we will work with the
    companies owning those cities to revamp them and
    transfer vital facilities. This effort will depend on the
    readiness of these companies to work with the
    government. Our aim is for these cities to contribute in
    the development of the economy and to attract quality
    investments as well as local and international talent, all
    kept in line with our national priorities.

    50

    ESTABLISHING
    SPECIAL
    ZONES

    We will create special zones in exceptional and
    competitive locations. We shall take into account the
    comparative advantages of the Kingdom’s different
    regions, assess their feasibility for promising sectors,
    and then establish special zones, such as logistic,
    tourist, industrial and financial ones. Special commercial
    regulations to boost investment possibilities and
    diversify government revenues will be applied to these
    zones.

    INCREASING THE
    COMPETITIVENESS OF OUR
    ENERGY SECTOR

    We plan to raise the efficiency of the government’s support
    system and make the best use of its benefits by redirecting it
    and targeting eligible citizens and economic sectors. For
    example, we understand that providing subsidies with no
    clear eligibility criteria is a substantial obstacle to the energy
    sector’s competitiveness. Free market prices shall, in the long
    term, stimulate productivity and competitiveness among
    utility companies and open the door to investment and
    diversification of the energy mix in the Kingdom. We will also
    seek to set clear subsidy criteria based on the maturity of
    economic sectors, their ability to compete locally and
    internationally and their actual need for subsidies, without
    endangering promising and strategic sectors.

    BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT,
    RESTRUCTURE OUR ECONOMIC
    CITIES, CREATE SPECIAL ZONES AND
    DEREGULATE THE ENERGY MARKET
    TO MAKE IT MORE COMPETITIVE

    51

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    OPEN FOR BUSINESS

    52

    10

    Having the contribution
    of the private sector
    reach from 40% to 60%
    of the total local
    production

    To increase foreign direct investment from 3.8% to the
    international level of 5.7% of GDP

    To increase the private sector’s contribution from 40% to 65% of GDP

    To rise from our current position of 25 to the top 10 countries on the
    Global Competitiveness Index

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    53

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    54

    A RESTRUCTURED KING
    ABDULLAH FINANCIAL
    DISTRICT

    In the last decade, works started at the King Abdullah
    Financial District, without consideration of its economic
    feasibility. The objective was to prepare the land in
    order to allow the business and financial communities
    to invest and build real estate. When this objective was
    not reached, the government decided back then to
    develop and rent the real estate. Challenges were
    deepened by the development of the real estate project
    in one single phase, which caused a significant increase
    in construction costs and several delays in delivery. This
    resulted in large oversupply of commercial space for
    the years to come. Without any dramatic shift in
    direction, renting the three million square meters of
    built-up areas at reasonable prices, or even achieving
    decent occupancy ravtes, will be very challenging.
    With this in mind, we have reviewed the economic
    feasibility of and designed a new fundamental strategy
    for the district in order to increase the chances of
    profitability and success. We will seek to transform the
    district into a special zone that has competitive
    regulations and procedures, with visa exemptions, and
    directly connected to the King Khaled International
    Airport.

    We will also seek to repurpose some of the built-up
    areas and change the real estate mix, increasing the
    allocation for residential accommodation, services and
    hospitality areas. We will seek to build and create an
    integrated and attractive living and working
    environment. The district will be the headquarters of
    the Public Investment Fund, the largest sovereign
    wealth fund, which will contribute to creating an
    environment attractive to financial, investment and
    other corporations.

    55

    AMONG OUR COMMITMENTS..

    56

    A FLOURISHING
    RETAIL SECTOR

    Over the past decade, the retail sector achieved an
    annual growth rate in excess of 10 percent. It currently
    employs 1.5 million workers, of which only 0.3 million
    are Saudis. Traditional retail also still dominates 50
    percent of the market in the Kingdom compared to 20
    percent in a number of countries in the Gulf Cooperation
    Council (GCC), with our retail market suffering from
    limited penetration of modern trade and e-commerce.
    We aim to provide job opportunities for an additional
    million Saudis by 2020 in a growing retail sector that
    attracts modern, local, regional, and international
    brands across all regions of the country. We also aim to
    increase the contribution of modern trade and
    e-commerce to 80 percent of the retail sector by 2020.
    This will be achieved by attracting both regional and
    international retail investors and by easing restrictions
    on ownership and foreign investment.
    To this end, we will facilitate local and regional flow of
    goods and develop necessary sectoral regulations. We
    will also increase financing of small retail enterprises to
    stimulate their growth and development.

    A DEVELOPED DIGITAL
    INFRASTRUCTURE

    A sophisticated digital infrastructure is integral to
    today’s advanced industrial activities. It attracts
    investors and enhances the fundamental
    competitiveness of the Saudi economy.
    We will partner with the private sector to develop the
    telecommunications and information technology
    infrastructure, especially high-speed broadband,
    expanding its coverage and capacity within and around
    cities and improving its quality. Our specific goal is to
    exceed 90 percent housing coverage in densely
    populated cities and 66 percent in other urban zones.
    We will also develop building standards to facilitate the
    extension of broadband networks.
    We will strengthen the governance of digital
    transformation through a national council. Additionally,
    we will improve our regulations and establish an
    effective partnership with telecom operators to better
    develop this critical infrastructure. We will also support
    local investments in the telecommunications and
    information technology sectors.

    57

    SAUDI ARABIA IS RIGHT AT THE
    CROSSROADS OF IMPORTANT
    INTERNATIONAL TRADE ROUTES,
    BETWEEN THREE CONTINENTS: ASIA,
    EUROPE AND AFRICA. WE WILL
    THEREFORE MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS
    FROM OUR EXCEPTIONAL AND
    STRATEGIC GEOGRAPHIC POSITION,
    AGREE NEW STRATEGIC
    PARTNERSHIPS TO GROW OUR

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    LEVERAGING ITS UNIQUE POSITION

    BUILDING A UNIQUE
    REGIONAL
    LOGISTICAL HUB

    We have already invested heavily in the construction of
    ports, railways, roads and airports. To take full advantage
    of these investments, we plan to work with the private
    sector and enter into a new series of international
    partnerships to complete, improve and link our
    infrastructure internally and across borders. We will also
    unlock our “hard” infrastructure with systems that can
    drive higher performance, including more rigorous
    governance, leaner processes and a more efficient
    customs system. We will improve and implement
    existing laws and regulations. Air, maritime, and other
    transport operators will be encouraged to make the
    most of their capacity: achieving durable links between
    existing trade hubs, as well as opening new trade
    routes. This will reinforce our position as a distinctive
    logistical gateway to the three continents.

    INTEGRATING
    REGIONALLY AND
    INTERNATIONALLY

    With a GDP of SAR 2.4 trillion, our economy is
    already the largest in the Middle East. We enjoy
    close economic ties with the Gulf Cooperation
    Council and other Arab countries, as well as
    constructive relations with Islamic and foreign
    countries. We will seek to establish new business
    partnerships and facilitate a smoother flow of
    goods, people and capital.
    Among our top priorities is to fortify and extend our
    interconnectivity and economic integration with
    other Gulf Cooperation Council countries. We will
    strive to complete the process of implementing the
    GCC common market, unifying customs, economic
    and legal policies, and constructing shared road and
    railway networks.
    We will seek to effectively link with other countries
    in the region, through enhanced logistics services

    58

    and new cross-border infrastructure projects,
    including land transport projects with Africa
    through Egypt. Logistical and trade exchanges will
    be streamlined, further cementing our pre-eminent
    position as a major trade hub.

    ECONOMY AND HELP SAUDI
    COMPANIES TO INCREASE EXPORTS
    OF THEIR PRODUCTS. WE WILL
    LEVERAGE THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF
    ENERGY SOURCES AND OUR
    DISTINCTIVE LOGISTICAL OFFER TO
    STIMULATE A NEW PHASE OF
    INDUSTRIALIZATION AND TO
    CATALYZE EXPORTS AND RE-EXPORTS

    SUPPORTING
    OUR NATIONAL
    COMPANIES

    Rather than competing generically across the board,
    we will concentrate on our comparative advantages,
    national strengths and the areas that will assure
    leadership status. Initially, our priority will be to fully
    support major national companies, which have already
    gained a leading market share, by promoting their
    products and services regionally and globally, especially
    in the fields of oil, petrochemicals, banking,
    telecommunications, food, health care, and retail. We
    will also seek to support Saudi companies with
    promising growth opportunities so they develop into
    new regional and global leaders. Finally, we will fully
    support our national industries, assisting them to
    market themselves abroad and to export their products.

    59

    A THRIVING ECONOMY..
    LEVERAGING ITS UNIQUE POSITION
    60

    25

    To raise the share of non-oil exports in non-oil GDP from 16% to 50%

    To raise our global ranking in the Logistics Performance Index
    from 49 to 25 and ensure the Kingdom is a regional leader

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    61

    AN AMBITIOUS
    NATION

    3
    62

    63

    64

    AN AMBITIOUS NATION..
    EFFECTIVELY GOVERNED

    THE ROLES AND REQUIREMENTS OF
    GOVERNMENT HAVE GROWN
    SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE KINGDOM
    OF SAUDI ARABIA’S FOUNDING.
    GOVERNMENT – ANY GOVERNMENT –
    NEEDS TO EVOLVE AND IMPROVE
    CONTINUOUSLY, IF ONLY TO KEEP
    PACE WITH RISING EXPECTATIONS
    AND NEW CHALLENGES. THIS
    REQUIRES US TO MEET HIGH

    STANDARDS OF TRANSPARENCY AND
    ACCOUNTABILITY. WE ARE
    COMMITTED TO MANAGING OUR
    FINANCES EFFICIENTLY AND
    EFFECTIVELY, AND TO CREATING
    AGILE PUBLIC ORGANIZATIONS AND
    TO TRACKING BOTH THEIR OWN
    PERFORMANCE AND THAT OF THE
    GOVERNMENT OVERALL

    65

    EMBRACING
    TRANSPARENCY

    PROTECTING
    OUR VITAL RESOURCES

    We will continue to build safe and sufficient
    strategic food reserves, to better guard against
    emergencies. Aquaculture will be promoted, as
    will strategic partnerships with countries
    blessed with natural resources such as fertile
    soil and water reserves. In Saudi Arabia, the use of
    water in agriculture will be prioritized for those
    areas with natural and renewable water sources. We
    will also continue to collaborate with consumers, food
    manufacturers and distributors to reduce any
    resource wastage.

    WITH AGILI

    AN AMBITIOUS NATION..
    EFFECTIVELY GOVERNED
    66

    20To raise our ranking in the Government Effectiveness Index, from 80 to 20

    To increase non-oil government revenue
    from SAR 163 billion to SAR 1 Trillion

    To raise our ranking on the E-Government Survey Index from our current
    position of 36 to be among the top five nations

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030

    67

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    68

    KING SALMAN PROGRAM
    FOR HUMAN CAPITAL
    DEVELOPMENT

    We have yet to identify and put into effect the best
    practices that would ensure that public sector
    employees have the right skills for the future. However,
    by 2020, we aim to have trained, through distance
    learning, 500,000 government employees. All ministries
    and government institutions will be required to adopt
    best practices in human capital development. We will
    continue to hire individuals according to merit and
    work towards building a broad talent base, so they may
    become leaders of the future.
    The King Salman Program for Human Capital
    Development will establish HR centers of excellence in
    every government agency, and provide training. We
    will work to raise the productivity of employees to the
    highest levels possible, by implementing proper
    performance management standards, providing
    continuous training for professional development, and
    sharing knowledge. We will develop targeted policies
    to identify and empower future leaders, and will furnish
    a stimulating environment that provides equal
    opportunities and rewards for excellence.

    SHARED SERVICES TO
    OUR GOVERNMENT
    AGENCIES

    We are working towards shared services across our
    government agencies. This will contribute to achieving
    our goal of increasing productivity and raising the
    efficiency of government spending. Shared services in
    our government will also aim to increase quality, cut
    costs, unify our efforts, and provide a suitable work
    environment for all parties at the lowest cost.
    Shared services can be applied globally and locally in
    many sectors. This is our long-term goal, and we will
    implement it gradually. As a first step therefore, we will
    examine the status of support services in government
    sectors, set the scope of work and develop
    comprehensive priorities and implementation plans.
    We will follow best practices in employing shared
    services, with a robust set of performance indicators
    that will measure quality, workflow improvement, cost
    reduction and knowledge transfer.

    69

    AMONG OUR COMMITMENTS..
    70

    “QAWAM”:
    INCREASING SPENDING
    EFFICIENCY

    We are committed to making our public spending
    radically more efficient, using our resources more
    effectively, and limiting waste. We will launch the
    “Qawam” program as a reflection of the Qur’anic verse
    that calls for moderation in spending between excess
    and parsimony. Allah the Almighty says: “And those who,
    when they spend, are neither extravagant nor niggardly,
    but hold a medium (way) between those (extremes)”
    Through this program, we will comprehensively review
    financial regulations in all government agencies. The
    program is intended to move away from a narrow reliance
    on process auditing, and move towards a more integrated
    approach with effective and efficient spending controls,
    and specific and measurable goals, while sustaining
    resources and assets. We will raise awareness and reward
    a culture of efficient spending throughout all
    administrative levels. Specialized training for employees
    and other key stakeholders will be provided as required,
    boosting the performance of finance departments and
    internal auditing.

    EFFECTIVE
    E-GOVERNMENT

    We have made remarkable progress in e-government.
    The scope of online services has already been expanded
    over the last decade to include employment programs,
    online job searches, e-learning services, traffic,
    passports and civil affairs, online payment services,
    online issuance of commercial registers, among others.
    This has improved Saudi Arabia’s ranking on several
    global indicators. In the UN e-Government Index, for
    instance, we ranked 36 in 2014, up from 90 in 2004.
    We will expand the scope of current online services
    further to include areas such as geographic information,
    health care and education. Quality will be improved by
    streamlining processes, and diversifying communication
    channels. We will also support the wider use of online
    applications in government agencies, such as cloud
    applications, data sharing platforms and HR
    management systems. Finally, we will strengthen the
    governance of online services within the government
    itself.

    71

    THE NATION WE ASPIRE TO BUILD WILL
    NOT BE REALIZED WITHOUT A GRAND,
    COLLECTIVE NATIONAL EFFORT WHERE
    EVERYONE CONTRIBUTES. WE ALL HAVE
    ROLES TO FULFILL, WHETHER WE ARE
    WORKING IN THE PUBLIC, PRIVATE OR

    AN AMBITIOUS NATION..
    RESPONSIBLY ENABLED

    BEING RESPONSIBLE
    FOR OUR LIVES

    We have already faced and overcome many
    challenges and accomplished much, by the grace of
    Allah and our brotherhood. We have contributed to
    building our country. We have been, and still are, a
    great example in assuming responsibility. Today, as
    we face fresh challenges, new roles and
    responsibilities are required. We should feel great
    confidence in our capabilities, in our understanding
    of our obligations and in our ability to achieve
    excellence for our nation, our society, our families
    and ourselves.
    We are each personally responsible for our own
    futures. As such, we will develop ourselves and will
    work to become independent and active members
    of society, developing new skills in the process. We
    will remember our lifelong obligations to our
    families. In the workplace, we will be committed
    and disciplined, acquire new experience and pursue
    our ambitions.
    We will create the right environment to enable us to
    fulfill these responsibilities. We will promote greater
    financial independence by providing planning tools
    such as mortgages, savings portfolios, and
    retirement options. We will set up a regulatory
    framework that empowers the non-profit sector.

    This will all be achieved by adhering closely to
    Islamic principles, Arab values and our national
    traditions. As we build our own long-term future, we
    will remember our duty to respect these principles,
    which include supporting the vulnerable and needy,
    helping our neighbors, being hospitable to guests,
    respecting visitors, being courteous to expatriates,
    and being conscientious of human rights.

    72

    NON-PROFIT SECTORS. WE WILL
    THEREFORE WORK CONTINUALLY TO
    ACHIEVE OUR HOPES AND FULFIL OUR
    ASPIRATIONS AND RESPONSIBILITIES TO
    OUR COUNTRY, OUR SOCIETY, OUR
    FAMILIES, AND TO OURSELVES

    BEING RESPONSIBLE
    IN BUSINESS

    We aspire to have businesses that contribute to
    developing our society and our country, not be
    geared solely towards generating profits. We expect
    our companies to observe their social responsibilities
    and contribute to creating a sustainable economy,
    including by creating the stimulating opportunities
    for young men and women that can help them build
    their professional careers. We will encourage the
    businesses that follow through on this commitment
    to participate in our country and to address national
    challenges.

    BEING RESPONSIBLE
    TO SOCIETY

    The values of giving, compassion, cooperation and
    empathy are firmly entrenched in our society. We have
    already played an influential role in providing social aid
    locally, regionally and globally. In the future, we will
    formalize and strengthen the organization of our social
    and compassionate work so that our efforts have the
    maximum results and impact.
    Today, we have fewer than 1,000 non-profit foundations
    and associations. In order to increase the resilience and
    impact of this sector, we will continue to develop
    regulations necessary to empower non-profit
    organizations. We will review our regulations to
    encourage endowments to sustainably fund the sector
    and to encourage corporations and high net worth
    families to establish non-profit organizations.
    Government support will be directed to the programs
    with highest social impact and we will support training
    workers to encourage volunteering and careers in the
    non-profit sector. Enabling non-profit organizations to
    attract the best talents in order to ensure best
    management practices and the transfer of knowledge,
    which will strengthen these institutions over the long-
    term. This will ensure that the non-profit sector plays an
    enhanced and more efficient role in critical sectors such
    as health care, education, housing, research, and
    cultural and social programs.

    73

    AN AMBITIOUS NATION..
    RESPONSIBLY ENABLED
    74

    Access household savings
    From 6% to 10% of
    disposable income of
    households

    To raise the non-profit sector’s contribution to GDP from less
    than 1% to 5%

    To increase household savings from 6% to 10% of total household income

    To rally one million volunteers per year (compared to 11,000 now)

    AMONG OUR
    GOALS BY
    2030
    75

    AMONG OUR
    COMMITMENTS..

    76

    A MORE IMPACTFUL NON-
    PROFIT SECTOR

    Today, we have fewer than 1,000 non-profit and
    charitable foundations and associations. They
    contribute just 0.3 percent of our GDP, much less than
    the global average of 6 percent. Currently, just 7 percent
    of projects are focused on generating social impact or
    are aligned with the long-term national priorities. By
    2020, more than one third of our non-profit
    organizations’ projects should have measurable and
    deep social impact.
    The recently published regulations on non-profit
    organizations and on the General Authority for
    Endowments will help the non-profit sector become
    more institutionalized, formalized and more efficient.
    We will accelerate this shift further by supporting
    projects and programs with high social impact and by
    facilitating the establishment of non-profit organizations
    by high net worth families, which will promote rapid
    growth of the non-profit sector. We will support this
    growth by creating a supportive and cooperate
    environment in which the sector’s institutions and
    government agencies can collaborate.

    At the same time, we will encourage the non-profit
    sector to apply proper governance standards, facilitate
    high quality training to staff and promote a culture of
    volunteering and full-time careers in the sector.

    77

    HOW TO ACHIEVE
    OUR VISION?

    78

    WE HAVE OUTLINED A
    COMPREHENSIVE AND AMBITIOUS
    VISION FOR SAUDI ARABIA UNTIL THE
    YEAR 2030. IT IS THE FIRST STEP ON
    OUR JOURNEY TOWARDS A BETTER,
    BRIGHTER FUTURE FOR OUR
    COUNTRY AND OUR CITIZENS. TO
    ACHIEVE OUR ASPIRATIONS AND
    HOPES, WE HAVE ALREADY
    LAUNCHED MANY TRANSFORMATIVE
    PROGRAMS THAT HAVE PAVED THE
    WAY FOR THE VISION AND WILL HELP
    US ACHIEVE OUR GOALS.
    THESE INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT
    LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING:

    THE GOVERNMENT
    RESTRUCTURING PROGRAM

    Around the world, governments are organizing
    themselves with agility, continuously restructuring and
    aligning their systems to national priorities. We have
    already started moving along this path by eliminating
    supreme councils and establishing the Council of
    Political and Security Affairs and the Council of
    Economic and Development Affairs. These reforms have
    helped to speed strategy development and decision-
    making, as well as enhance performance. We will
    continue this careful restructuring, comprehensively
    and gradually, based on our clear priorities.

    THE STRATEGIC
    DIRECTIONS PROGRAM

    We have approved the strategic directions determined
    by our government agencies. Existing roles have been
    reviewed to align with our future economic and social
    needs. Decisions are based on detailed studies and
    benchmarks, as well as comprehensive analysis of each
    agency’s programs, plans and relevant performance
    indicators.

    79

    80

    THE FISCAL
    BALANCE PROGRAM

    After the Council of Economic and Development Affairs
    was established, we began examining our existing
    capital expenditures, their approval mechanism and
    their measureable economic impact. We have formed
    committees and introduced new departments tasked
    with reviewing relevant regulations and taking the
    necessary action on the expenditures. As a consequence,
    last year, we increased our non-oil revenues by 30
    percent, and we plan to continue diversifying our non-
    oil revenues in the coming years, by introducing new
    measures.

    THE PROJECT
    MANAGEMENT PROGRAM

    The Kingdom’s agencies are currently undergoing a
    wave of reforms and transformation. To manage this
    momentum and ensure all efforts are coordinated, we
    adopted an effective approach to project management
    and established expert project management offices
    (PMOs) in the Council of Economic and Development
    Affairs and many other government agencies. We also
    set up a central Delivery Unit.

    THE REGULATIONS
    REVIEW PROGRAM

    Over the past year, we reviewed many current laws and
    enacted new laws that have been years overdue. These
    include the company law, the non-governmental
    organizations’ law, the law concerning fees on non-
    used lands, the General Authority for Endowments
    (Awqaf ) law, among others. We will continue to review
    all laws to ensure they are in line with the Kingdom’s
    priorities.

    THE PERFORMANCE
    MEASUREMENT PROGRAM

    We adopted the principle of performance measurement,
    and made sure it is properly used in our evaluation of
    all government agencies, their programs, initiatives and
    executives. We established the Center for Performance
    Management of Government Agencies to institutionalize
    these efforts for the long-term and built performance
    dashboards to promote accountability and
    transparency.

    81

    THE PUBLIC INVESTMENT
    FUND RESTRUCTURING
    PROGRAM

    Having worked on restructuring the fund, we are now
    refining its investment capabilities and enabling the
    fund to manage a broader portfolio of current and new
    assets. We aim to transform it into the largest sovereign
    wealth fund in the world and will announce a
    comprehensive plan to achieve this goal.

    THE HUMAN
    CAPITAL PROGRAM

    Because human capital is a crucial factor in the success
    of any substantial project, we aim to launch a thorough
    program for nurturing our human talent. This program
    will measure, assess and analyze the efficiency of our
    civil service. It will also support our government
    agencies with staff, studies, consultations, and strategic
    partnerships related to human capital.

    TO ENSURE THE
    REALIZATION OF
    SAUDI ARABIA’S
    VISION FOR 2030,
    WE ARE
    PREPARING TO
    LAUNCH A GROUP
    OF EXECUTIVE
    PROGRAMS THAT
    WILL HAVE A
    SIGNIFICANT
    IMPACT ON
    IMPLEMENTATION.
    THESE INCLUDE،
    BUT ARE NOT
    LIMITED TO THE
    FOLLOWING:

    THE SAUDI ARAMCO
    STRATEGIC
    TRANSFORMATION
    PROGRAM

    We believe that Saudi Aramco has the ability to lead
    the world in other sectors besides oil, and it has
    worked on a sweeping transformative program that
    will position it as a leader in more than one sector.

    82

    THE STRATEGIC
    PARTNERSHIPS PROGRAM

    We are working with our economic partners around the
    world to build new strategic partnerships for the
    twenty-first century, in harmony with our national
    Vision, so that we can be a trade hub connecting three
    continents and enhance our exports.

    THE PRIVATIZATION
    PROGRAM

    We are in the process of determining additional sectors
    suitable for privatization. Our goal is to create a
    comprehensive privatization program. We will make
    use of international best practices, transfer knowledge
    and achieve our goals in a balanced and scientific
    manner.

    THE NATIONAL
    TRANSFORMATION
    PROGRAM

    In a new approach, our government agencies have
    been working through numerous workshops to
    examine their role in implementing the initiatives
    necessary for delivering on national priorities. We are
    identifying opportunities for partnering with the
    private sector, as well as innovative administrative and
    funding approaches. We are detailing specific initiatives
    that have clear performance indicators..

    THE PROGRAM FOR
    STRENGTHENING
    PUBLIC SECTOR
    GOVERNANCE

    We will work on restructuring our government agencies
    continuously and with flexibility. We will eliminate
    redundant roles, unify efforts, streamline procedures
    and define responsibilities. We shall also enable our
    agencies to deliver on their mandate, to be accountable,
    to ensure business continuity and to show adaptability
    in the face of new challenges. Under the Council of
    Economic and Development Affairs, we will establish a
    strategic management office to focus on coordinating
    all government programs and ensuring their careful
    alignment with the national Vision. The office will also
    prevent gaps, duplication or contradiction between
    agencies’ policies and programs, and ensure that all
    components of the Vision are detailed in proper sectoral
    strategies. We will also establish a Decision Support
    Center at the Royal Court to support decision-making
    through analytical and evidence-based information
    and reports.

    83

    OUR COMMITMENT TO
    ACHIEVING THE GOALS
    OF THESE PIVOTAL
    PROGRAMS AND OUR
    COLLECTIVE
    CONTRIBUTION SHALL BE
    THE FIRST STEP
    TOWARDS ACHIEVING
    SAUDI ARABIA’S VISION
    FOR 2030. WE WILL
    CONTINUE TO LAUNCH
    NEW PROGRAMS IN THE
    UPCOMING YEARS AS
    REQUIRED, AND WE WILL
    CONTINUOUSLY REVIEW
    AND ASSESS OUR
    PERFORMANCE IN
    ACHIEVING THIS VISION

    MAY ALLAH BLESS US
    AND GUIDE US TO THE
    RIGHT PATH.

    84

    www.vision2030.gov.sa

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