Statistical Analysis Results

ANOVA

Source of Variation

Sum of squares

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Degrees of Freedom

Mean Square

F

Between treatments

90

3

Within treatments (Error)

120

20

Total

= (90 + 120)

= 210

= (3+20)

=23

Table 1: ANOVA table

The F-statistic is calculated as 5. The p-value for the F-statistic with 3 and 20 degrees of freedom is found to be 0.00951034. At 1% level of significance (α=0.01), as calculated p-value is less than 0.01, we decide to reject the null hypothesis.

Total number of groups = (degrees of freedom of between treatments) + 1 = (3+1) = 4

Hence, there are 4 groups in the question.

Total number of observations = (degrees of freedom of within treatment) + 1= (20+1) = 21

There are 21 observations in the question.

Linear regression model:

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

136

13.76

9.881

0.000

104.2621

167.7379

Year (t)

39.18

2.22

17.664

0.000

34.0668

44.29684

Table 2: Linear Regression Model

The simple linear regression, Y = a + b*X.

Here, the intercept (a) = 136, the slope (b) = 39.18.

According to the table 2, the estimated number of units sold by the auto manufacturer is:

Number of Units sold (‘000s) = 136 + 39.18*Year

It is the linear model of this analysis.

Thus, in the 11th (t=11) year, the number of units sold = (136+39.18*11) = 567 (‘000s). 

Figure 1: Trend of the number of units sold by major auto manufacturer

The estimation of trend indicates that the number of units that can be sold by the auto manufacturer = 567000.

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

59.89145

59.89145

29.62415

0.002842

Residual

5

10.10855

2.021711

Total

6

70

Table 3: Linear Regression Model calculates F-statistic

The p-value of the F-statistic is calculated as 0.002842. Therefore, at 0.01 level of significance, there is statistically significant relationship between price and the number of flash drives sold.  

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

40.033

1.070

37.4309

0.0000

37.28362

42.78217

Units sold (y)

-1.174

0.216

-5.4428

0.0028

-1.72897

-0.61971

Table 4: Linear Regression Model calculates t-statistic

The p-value is calculated as 0.002842. Therefore, at 0.01 level of significance, there is statistically significant relationship between price and the number of flash drives sold. 

In a completely randomized experimental design, 14 experimental units were utilised for each of the five levels of factor (5 treatments). We executed ANOVA table.

Source of Variation

Sum of Squares

Degrees of Freedom

Mean Square

F

Between treatments

= (4*800) = 3200

= (5 – 1) = 4

800.00

Within treatments (Error)

= (10600 – 3200) = 7400

= (14 – 1) = 13

Total

10600

17

Table 5: ANOVA Table

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F crit

Between Groups

324

2

162

40.500

0.000

4.256

Within Groups

36

9

4

Total

360

11

Table 6: ANOVA Table

The hypotheses are:

Null Hypothesis (H0): The average sales of the three stores are equal.

Alternate Hypothesis (HA): There exists at least one inequality of average sales of the stores.

At 5% level of statistical significance, we can reject the Null Hypothesis for its p-value (0.000<0.05). Hence, the mean values of sales of the three stores are not equal. There exist significant differences in the mean sales of the three stores.

The hypotheses are-

Null Hypothesis (H0): The mean values of  sales of the three boxes are equal.

Alternate Hypothesis (HA): There exists at least one equality in mean sales of the boxes.

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

P-value

F-crit

Between Groups

24467.2

2

12233.6000

53.7111

0.000

3.8853

Within Groups

2733.2

12

227.7667

Total

27200.4

14

Linear Regression

Table 7: ANOVA Table

The p-value is calculated as 0.0. Therefore, at 0.05 level of statistical significance, we can reject the Null Hypothesis of equality of mean values of sales. Therefore, the sales of the three boxes are unequal.  

Brand A

Brand B

Brand C

Average Mileage

37

38

33

Sample Variance

3

4

2

Count

10

10

10

Table 8: Descriptive statistics table

The total average = [(37*10) + (38*10) + (33*10)] = [370 + 380 + 330] = 1080

The total average mileage =

Thus, SSBetween Groups (SSB) = [10*(37 – 36)2+10*(38 – 36)2+10*(33 – 36)2] = 140

SSError (SSE) = [(10*3) + (10*4) + (10*2)] = 90

ANOVA

Source of Variation

SS

df

MS

F

Between Groups

140

2

Within Groups

90

=(29 – 2) = 27

Total

210

29

Table 9: ANOVA Table

F-critical calculated from F-table with (2, 27) degrees of freedom at 5% level of significance is 0.00000313.

As, F-value (21.02)> F-critical (0.00000313), at 5% level of significance, there exists sufficient evidence to reject Null Hypothesis. Therefore, there is a statistically significant variability in the average mileage of the tyres.

Day

Tips

Simple Moving average

1

18

2

22

19

3

17

19

4

18

21

5

28

22

6

20

20

7

12

Table 10: Moving Average Table

Days (x)

Forecast (Y)

Y’

(Y-Y’)

(Y-Y’)2

1

19

19.2

-0.2

0.04

2

19

19.7

-0.7

0.49

3

21

20.2

0.8

0.64

4

22

20.7

1.3

1.69

5

20

21.2

-1.2

1.44

0.00

0.86

Table 11: Forecasting Table

The mean square error of the forecast is calculated as 0.86.

The mean absolute deviation of the forecast is calculated as 0.00.

Source of Variation

Degrees of Freedom

Sum of Squares

(SS)

Mean Square

(MSS)

F-statistic

Regression

4

283940.60

70985.15

2.055

Error

18

621735.14

34540.84

Total

22

905675.74 (TSS)

Table 12: ANOVA Table

The coefficient of determination = (

From the linear regression model, it can be inferred that 7.84% of the variability in sales of “Very Fresh Juice Company” could be explained by the independent variables – “price per unit”, “competitor’s price”, “advertising” and “type of container.”

Significance value of F-statistic can be found in MS-Excel by the excel function FDIST(2.055,4,18). According to the p-value (α=0.05), F-statistic with degrees of freedom 4 and 18 is 0.12942. As, 0.12942>0.05, at 0.05 level of significance, we do not have sufficient evidence to reject Null Hypothesis. Therefore, the model statistically is insignificant.

The total sample size = (Total degrees of freedom +1) = (22+1) = 23.

ANOVA

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

2

118.8474369

59.4237

40.9216

0.000

Residual

9

13.0692

1.4521

Total

11

131.9166667

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Intercept

118.5059

33.5753

3.5296

0.0064

Number of shares sold (in ’00s) (x1)

-0.0163

0.0315

-0.5171

0.6176

New York Stock Exchange (x2)

-1.5726

0.3590

-4.3807

0.0018

Table 13: ANOVA Table of Regression Model

The price of the stock can be predicted from the linear regression provided trend equation-

y = 118.5059 – 0.0163*x1 – 1.5726*x2

From the linear regression equation, it can be said that:

  1. For every 100 stocks of company sold the price of Rawlon Inc. stock would decrease by 0.0163 and vice versa.
  2. For every million enhance in exchange of the New York Stock Exchange the price of Rawlon Inc. Stock would reduce by 1.5726 and vice versa.
  3. For, zero amount of sold price of both Rawlon Inc. and New York Stock Exchange, the Inc. Stock is found to be 118.5059.

At 0.05 level of significance, the volume of exchange of New York stock exchange is statistically significant (as p-value = 0.0018< 0.05).

The p-value is calculated as 0.6176 (>0.05). Therefore, at 0.05 level of significance, the number of shares sold by Rawlon Inc. is not statistically significant.

For 94500 stocks sold and 16 million the volume of exchange on the New York Stock Exchange, the price of the stock (Inc. stock) would be:  

y = [118.5059 – (0.0163*x1) – (1.5726*x2)]

   = [118.5059 – (0.0163*945) – (1.5726*16)]

   = 77.95

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