economics

2

>Q

1

a

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n

d Q2

use Price

00

% confidence limits for the population mean of house prices.

000

5000.

Limit

01.5

80000

0

.5

84000

6616598.73737

00

Upper

725.448103923

91500

100

93500

96000

98000

98000

000

99000

=

102000
102000

102000

123881

102000 n 100

103000

86666667

103500
105000

135500

136500

137400

169900
169900

179000

179500

250000

255000

255000

Ho
67

0 Question 1: Calculate the

9 5
6

8 It is given that the population standard deviation is equal to $

4
68000
69000
72000 8820 lower limit 11506

1.5
75000
76000 Upper 1

3 27
76900
77000
78000 If Sigma was not given, use data anlaysis to get this (below)
79000
80000
House Price
8

100
82000 Mean 123881
83000 Standard Error 4457.1477412549
84000 Median 106500
Mode
102000
86250 Standard Deviation 44571.4774125491
87000 Sample

Variance 1

98
8

95 Kurtosis 1.0548503827
90400 Skewness 1.1646598578
90500 Range 188000 115037.551896077
91000 Minimum 67000
91500 Maximum 255000 Lower 1

32
Sum 12388150
92500 Count
93500 Confidence Level(95.0%) 8843.9481039231
94000
95500
96000
97900 Question 2: It is claimed that the average house price is $125K or less. Set up the null and alternate hypotheses and
98000 conduct the test at the alpha of 0.05. It is given that the population standard deviation is equal to $45000.
99 Ho = Mu LE 125K
99000
H1 Mu GT 125K
Xbar
103000
103500 Zstat -0.

24
105000 Z critical 1.646 for the alpha of 0.05
108000 Accept the null hypothesis.
112000
112500 Conclusion: The claim that the mean house price is 125K 0r below is correct.
114900
115500
120500
122000
125500
127000
128000
129900
130350
132350
133000
134500
135500
136500
137400
137500
139500
144000
145000
149000
155000
154000
155500
156500
163000
165000
167000
168700
169900
176000
179000
179500
187500
203000
220000
222000
250000

Q3 Solution

2

Ho

Mean

H1

Variance

27 32

0

-3.2119420179

2.0066468051

t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances
Location Location 3 Mu2 =Mu3
88377.7777777778 10131

2.5 Mu2 NE Mu3
267547179.487179 201860967.741935
Observations Two tail test
Hypothesized Mean Difference
df 52 Tstat -3.2119420179
t Stat
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.0011318082 Tcritical 2.0066468051 -2.0066468051
t Critical one-tail 1.6746891537
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.0022636164 Tstat is outside the acceptance range, hence we reject the null hypothesis.
t Critical two-tail
Conclusion: The two means are different.

Q4

Solution

Q4

Count Sum

Variance

8

H1

Location 2 27

88377.7777777778 267547179.487179

Location 3 32

101312.5 201860967.741935

24

9

stat is above

, we reject the Ho,

df

F

4

95

99

SUMMARY HO Mu1 =Mu2=Mu3=Mu4=Mu5
Groups Average
Location 1 747500 93437.5 26941964.2857143 Not all means are equal.
2386200
3242000
Location 4 3746600 156108.333333333 458024275.362321
Location 5 1963500 218166.666666667 1462250000
ANOVA Since

F Fcritical
Source of Variation SS MS P-value F crit
Between Groups 161766824850 40441706212.5 107.8140782368 1.93306561967325E-34 2.4674936234 Hence not all the means are equal.
Within Groups 35635068750 375105986.842105
Total 197401893600

Q3 and Q4

Location 1 Location 2 Location 3 Location 4 Location 5
86250 67000 75000 120500 165000

86250 68000 78000 128000 167000

68000

134500 179500

69000 87000 135500 220000

96000 72000

136500 222000

76000 90500 136500 250000

98000 76900 91000 137400 250000
99000 77000 91500 137500 255000
79000 91500 144000 255000
80000 92500 145000
80000 95500 149000
82000 97900 155000
83000 98000 154000
84000 98000 156500
84000 99000 163000
90400 99000 169900
93500 102000 169900

93500 102000 169900

96000 102000 176000
96000 103000 179000
98000 103000 179000
99000 103500 179500
102000 103500 187500
108000 105000 203000
114900 105000
122000 112000
127000 112500
115500
125500
129900
130350

132350

Question 3: Using the t test, test the claim that the average housing prices of location 2 and location 3
are not different. Write the hypotheses, etc.
90000 81000
95000
89500
97000
Question 4: Using the ANOVA, test the claim that the average housing prices of all these locations are different.
Wrtie the hypothese,etc..

Q5

solution

Ho

Statistics

H1

Standard Error

Observations 100

ANOVA

df SS MS F

Regression 1

30858975434.0591

Fcritical

98

Total 99

Standard Error t Stat P-value

-17652.8996222996 73162.700798441

0.0000451375

15736.5568432443 43056.4703200152

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Slope B1 =0
Regression Slope B1 NE 0
Multiple R 0.3961102897
R Square 0.1569033616
Adjusted R Square 0.1483003347 equation
41133.9360170468
Yhat = 27754.9 +29396.5 X
It is significant since we reject the Ho (Fstat > Fcritical)
Significance F
30858975434.0591 18.2381576883 0.0000451375 ~4
Residual 165816067840.941 1692000692.2545 for alpha of 0.05; df1 =1 and df2 = 98.
196675043275
Coefficients Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Rsquare = 0.1569.
Intercept 27754.9005880707 22881.6048896187 1.212978754 0.2280536798 -17652.8996222996 73162.700798441 15.69% of the total variation is explained by the
Bedrooms 29396.5135816297 6883.4370185067 4.27061561 15736.5568432443 43056.4703200152 regression equation.
Yhat for X=4 145340.95491459

Q5

House Price Location Bedrooms

67000 2 2 1

68000 2 3 1

68000 2 3 1

69000 2 2 1

72000 2 4 2

75000 3 2 1
76000 2 2 1

76900 2 3 1
77000 2 2 3
78000 3 2 1
79000 2 3 2
80000 2 3 1.5
80000 2 3 1
81000 3 2 1
82000 2 3 1.5
83000 2 3 1
84000 2 3 1
84000 2 3 1.5
86250 1 4 2
87000 3 3 2
89500 3 3 2
90400 2 4 2
90500 3 3 1.5
91000 3 3 2
91500 3 4 2

91500 3 4 2

92500 3 3 1.5
93500 2 3 2
93500 2 4 2
94000 1 3 1.5
95500 3 3 2
96000 2 3 2

96000 2 3 2

97900 3 3 2
98000 3 3 2
98000 2 3 2

98000 3 3 2

99000 2 4 2
99000 3 4 2
99000 3 3 2
102000 3 4 2
102000 2 3 1.5

102000 3 4 2

102000 3 3 1.5
103000 3 3 2
103000 3 3 1.5
103500 3 3 2

103500 3 3 2

105000 3 3 2
105000 3 3 1.5
108000 2 3 2
112000 3 4 2
112500 3 3 2
114900 2 5 2
115500 3 4 2
120500 4 3 2
122000 2 3 3
125500 3 4 2.5
127000 2 3 2.5
128000 4 3 2
129900 3 4 2.5
130350 3 3 2
132350 3 3 2
133000 3 3 2
134500 4 3 2
135500 3 3 3
135500 4 3 3
136500 4 3 2

136500 4 3 2

137400 3 4 2.5
137400 4 4 2.5
137500 4 3 2
139500 3 4 2.5
144000 4 4 2.5
145000 4 3 2
149000 4 3 2
155000 4 4 2
154000 4 3 2
155500 3 3 2.5
156500 4 3 2
163000 4 4 2
165000 5 4 2
167000 5 4 2
168700 3 3 2.5
169900 4 4 2.5
169900 4 3 2.5

169900 4 3 2.5

176000 4 4 2.5
179000 4 4 2.5

179000 4 4 2.5

179500 4 3 2.5
179500 5 3 2.5
187500 4 4 2.5
203000 4 4 3
220000 5 4

222000 5 3 3.5
250000 5 4 2.5

250000 5 4 2.5

255000 5 4 2.5
255000 5 3 2.5
Bathrooms
Question 5: It is believed the price of a house is related
the number of bedrooms.
(a) Perform a regression analysis to determine such a relationship.
(b) Write down the equation. Is the relationship significant? Why?
© What is the interpretation of R-Square?
(d) What will the predicted price of the house that has 4 bedrooms?
3.5

Q3

a

ble>

A

utility compa

n

y wants to catgotize its customers in three categories – low bills, medium bills and high bills. The bills below $

5

0 are low, above 150 high and in between medium. The data was collected and a histogram was plotte

d.

It determined that the data is distributed as a Normal distribution whose mean and stadard devaition are

10

0

and

25

respectively. Mu

100
Sigma

25
a)     What is the probability of a customerto be in the low category? P (X<50) 0.02275

01319 b)     What proportions of the customers are in the medium category? P (50 < X<150) 0.954

49

98681 c)     What percentage of the customers are in the high category? P (X>150

0.02275
d)     How much a customer must spend to be in the bottom 5%? P (X 58.8786593262

Q4

Mu 100 n 25

5

25

a

What proportion of the sample mean are above $110?

d.

In reference to Problem 3, a random sample of 25 customers was taken.
SigmaofXBAR
sigma
What is the probability that the sample mean is below $95? P (XBAR <95) 0.1586552539
b. P (XBAR>110) 0.0227501319
c. What percentage of the sample mean be between $95 and $110? 0.8185946141
If the data was not distributed as a Normal Distribution, would you be able to answer the above questions? No,theample sizemust be at least30)

Q5

n 49

10

b.

0.4

Lower Limit

Data was collected to study the background of the people who participate in the stock market.
49 customers were selected at random and asked about their annual savings and whether they lived in a suburb.
After the sample was collected, the data was analyzed to calculate sample mean annual savings , sample standard deviation and the sample proportion
of people living in a suburb
Sample mean = $10K Sample Standard Deviation = $3K Sample Proportion =

0.4
Sample Mean Standard deviation 0.4285714286 t for0.025and48df 1.6772241961
a. Calculate the 90% confidence limits for the Annual Savings. 0.7188103698 9.2811896302 Upper Limit
10.7188103698 Lower Limit
The interval 9.28 and 10.72 contains the true population mean 90% ofthetime
Calculate the 95% confidence limits for the population proportion living in suburbs Z 1.96
p upper limit 0.5371714256
p(1-p) 0.24 0.2628285744
p (1-p)/n 0.0048979592
The true percentage of people living in suburbs is in the range 26 and 54 95% ofthetime.
SQRT() 0.0699854212

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